Sport Picks

Latvia

Latvian Cup 2025 OC Ventspils stadions, Ventspils

JFK Ventspils

0 - 2

FK Liepaja

Our Tip

Match Events

Okeke A.

46'

Sub

Ogunniyi A. In: Traore A.

Out: Ogunniyi A.

49'

Gueye D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with FK Liepaja advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

JFK Ventspils

39%

Draws

30%

FK Liepaja

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and FK Liepaja come out ahead of JFK Ventspils on wins alone.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
FK Liepaja arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor FK Liepaja, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

JFK Ventspils Clean Sheet 20%

FK Liepaja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	JFK Ventspils	FK Liepaja
Matches Played	29	27
Wins	7	12
Draws	9	4
Losses	13	11
Goals Scored	1.38	1
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Latvian Cup

JFK Ventspils vs FK Liepaja

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

JFK Ventspils Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

FK Liepaja Compare

Top Goalscorer Leidsman K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Melnis B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JFK Ventspils 32 / 100

FK Liepaja 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

JFK Ventspils FK Liepaja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FKL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Liepaja let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

JFK Ventspils's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: JFK Ventspils stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

JFK Ventspils VS FK Liepaja

1.38 Goals Scored 1

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5

88% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

JFK Ventspils

(Home)

18 Jul

JFK Ventspils

1 : 3

Alberts JDFS

11 Jul

Skanste

0 : 3

JFK Ventspils

04 Jul

Rezekne

1 : 1

JFK Ventspils

28 Jun

JFK Ventspils

0 : 2

Valmiera

20 Jun

JFK Ventspils

1 : 3

Leevon PPK

Page 1 of 6

FK Liepaja

(Away)

15 Jul

Decic

1 : 2

FK Liepaja

11 Jul

FK Auda Riga

1 : 0

FK Liepaja

09 Jul

FK Liepaja

1 : 0

Decic

04 Jul

BFC Daugavpils

3 : 1

FK Liepaja

30 Jun

FK Liepaja

4 : 0

Ogre United

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Jelgava-

TBD-

RFS-

Speks-

TBD-

FK Alberts-

Riga United-

TBD-

SK Babite-

Iecava-

TBD-

Kekava-Auda-

TBD-

Marupe-

TBD-

FK Metta-

FK Auda Riga-

TBD-

Grobina-

Livani-

TBD-

JFC Viola-

TBD-

Skanste-

Alberts JDFS-

TBD-

FK Smiltene-

TBD-

Super Nova-

Riga FC-

TBD-

Tukums 2000-

Kuivizu Spartaks-

TBD-

Upesciema Warriors-

TBD-

Riga Mariners-

Valmiera8

FK Limbazi0

TBD-

FK Cesis-

TBD-

Ogre United-

Plavinas-

TBD-

Namejs-

Rigas Futbola Skola-

TBD-

Bauskas / Memele-

AFA Olaine-

TBD-

Augsdaugavas-

RSU-

TBD-

LSPA-

Kuldigas/Goldingen-

TBD-

Salaspils FK-

Dienvidkurzemes-

TBD-

DSVK Traktors-

TBD-

Leevon PPK-

TBD-

BFC Daugavpils-

FK Union / JFK Daugava-

TBD-

Lielupe-

TBD-

Rezekne-

Talsi1

Aliance5

TBD-

Valka-

TBD-

JFK Ventspils-

TBD-

FK Liepaja-

1/64-finals

Jelgava-

TBD-

RFS-

Speks4

FK Alberts3

Riga United6

SK Babite0

Iecava1

Kekava-Auda2

TBD-

Marupe-

TBD-

FK Metta-

FK Auda Riga-

TBD-

Grobina-

Livani4

JFC Viola0

TBD-

Skanste-

Alberts JDFS-

TBD-

FK Smiltene-

TBD-

Super Nova-

Riga FC-

TBD-

Tukums 2000-

Kuivizu Spartaks0

Upesciema Warriors5

TBD-

Riga Mariners-

Valmiera6

FK Cesis0

TBD-

Ogre United-

Plavinas4

Namejs0

Rigas Futbola Skola8

Bauskas / Memele0

AFA Olaine-

TBD-

Augsdaugavas-

RSU5

LSPA1

Kuldigas/Goldingen2

Salaspils FK3

Dienvidkurzemes3

DSVK Traktors0

TBD-

Leevon PPK-

TBD-

BFC Daugavpils-

FK Union / JFK Daugava5

Lielupe0

TBD-

Rezekne-

Aliance9

Valka1

TBD-

JFK Ventspils-

TBD-

FK Liepaja-

1/32-finals

Jelgava-

TBD-

RFS-

Speks0

Riga United3

Kekava-Auda0

Marupe3

TBD-

FK Metta-

FK Auda Riga-

TBD-

Grobina-

Livani0

Skanste5

Alberts JDFS5

FK Smiltene3

TBD-

Super Nova-

Riga FC-

TBD-

Tukums 2000-

Upesciema Warriors0

Riga Mariners3

Valmiera4

Ogre United3

Plavinas3

Rigas Futbola Skola2

AFA Olaine3

Augsdaugavas1

RSU0

Salaspils FK6

Dienvidkurzemes1

Leevon PPK2

TBD-

BFC Daugavpils-

FK Union / JFK Daugava4

Rezekne0

Aliance0

JFK Ventspils6

TBD-

FK Liepaja-

1/16-finals

Jelgava-

TBD-

RFS-

Riga United0

Marupe3

TBD-

FK Metta-

FK Auda Riga-

TBD-

Grobina-

Skanste1

Alberts JDFS2

TBD-

Super Nova-

Riga FC-

TBD-

Tukums 2000-

Riga Mariners4

Valmiera3

Plavinas3

AFA Olaine5

Salaspils FK4

Leevon PPK5

TBD-

BFC Daugavpils-

FK Union / JFK Daugava1

JFK Ventspils3

TBD-

FK Liepaja-

1/8-finals

Jelgava0

RFS1

Marupe1

FK Metta4

FK Auda Riga1

Grobina0

Alberts JDFS1

Super Nova3

Riga FC4

Tukums 20000

Riga Mariners6

AFA Olaine1

Leevon PPK2

BFC Daugavpils4

JFK Ventspils0

FK Liepaja2

Quarter-finals

RFS3

FK Metta2

FK Auda Riga3

Super Nova1

Riga FC10

Riga Mariners0

BFC Daugavpils1

FK Liepaja2

Semi-finals

RFS0

FK Auda Riga2

Riga FC4

FK Liepaja0

Final

FK Auda Riga2

Riga FC1