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JFK Ventspils vs FK Metta

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Saleh S.

AI Match Summary

JFK Ventspils host FK Metta in the Nakotnes liga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: JFK Ventspils at 1 goals for, 1.25 against; FK Metta at 3.63 for, 1.13 against. Head-to-head, JFK Ventspils have won 0 to FK Metta's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 2.44) point toward FK Metta. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
JFK Ventspils
6%
Draws
90%
FK Metta
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Metta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Metta has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to JFK Ventspils.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for FK Metta.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Nakotnes liga provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
JFK Ventspils Clean Sheet 10%
FK Metta Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric JFK Ventspils FK Metta
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 19
Draws 10 2
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1 3.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Nakotnes liga
JFK Ventspils vs FK Metta
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

JFK Ventspils Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FK Metta Compare

Top Goalscorer Saleh S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.3
Avg xA / game 2.02

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JFK Ventspils 10 / 100
FK Metta 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
JFK Ventspils FK Metta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

JFK Ventspils scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

FK Metta let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

JFK Ventspils went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FK Metta lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

JFK Ventspils VS FK Metta
1 Goals Scored 3.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Metta12101142:1131
2Valmiera1292132:1229
3Riga Mariners1284025:1028
4Leevon PPK1273220:1524
5Alberts JDFS1262425:2020
6Marupe1261522:1519
7Super Nova 21254319:1719
8Riga FC 21251619:2216
9Skanste1241720:2413
10JFK Ventspils1224615:2010
11RFS 21223715:269
12Tukums 2000 21222816:318
13Rezekne1212910:365
14FK Smiltene1204812:334