Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Liepajnieks V.
32'
32'
Solomonovs N.
Assist: Svarups K.
46'
46'
Sub
Parkhomenko M. In: Eke L.
Out: Parkhomenko M.
AI Match Summary
The Nakotnes liga 2025 game between JFK Ventspils and Riga FC 2 finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
11%
80%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Riga FC 2
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Riga FC 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Riga FC 2 a 80% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
JFK Ventspils Clean Sheet 17%
Riga FC 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | JFK Ventspils | Riga FC 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Nakotnes liga
Riga FC 2 vs JFK Ventspils
4:2
Oct 19, 2025 Nakotnes liga
JFK Ventspils vs Riga FC 2
2:2
Jun 13, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Riga FC 2 vs JFK Ventspils
2:2
Oct 6, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Riga FC 2 vs JFK Ventspils
0:0
Jun 15, 2024 Nakotnes liga
JFK Ventspils vs Riga FC 2
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
JFK Ventspils Compare
Top Goalscorer Solomonovs N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Aliyu A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Riga FC 2 Compare
Top Goalscorer Johnson K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Avdejevs D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
JFK Ventspils 12 / 100
Riga FC 2 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
JFK Ventspils Riga FC 2
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RIG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
JFK Ventspils scored in 71% of their last 31 games.
Riga FC 2 let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Recent resilience: JFK Ventspils stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
JFK Ventspils VS Riga FC 2
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
JFK Ventspils
(Home) 18 Jul
JFK Ventspils
1 : 3 Alberts JDFS
11 Jul
Skanste
0 : 3 JFK Ventspils
04 Jul
Rezekne
1 : 1 JFK Ventspils
28 Jun
JFK Ventspils
0 : 2 Valmiera
20 Jun
JFK Ventspils
1 : 3 Leevon PPK
Page 1 of 7
18 Jul
JFK Ventspils
1 : 3 Alberts JDFS
28 Jun
JFK Ventspils
0 : 2 Valmiera
20 Jun
JFK Ventspils
1 : 3 Leevon PPK
09 May
JFK Ventspils
0 : 1 FK Metta
02 May
JFK Ventspils
0 : 0 RFS 2
Page 1 of 4
Riga FC 2
(Away) 19 Jul
Riga FC 2
2 : 1 Super Nova 2
04 Jul
Riga FC 2
2 : 0 Tukums 2000 2
27 Jun
RFS 2
1 : 3 Riga FC 2
14 Jun
Riga FC 2
2 : 0 FK Smiltene
23 May
Rezekne
2 : 1 Riga FC 2
Page 1 of 6
27 Jun
RFS 2
1 : 3 Riga FC 2
23 May
Rezekne
2 : 1 Riga FC 2
10 May
Leevon PPK
3 : 2 Riga FC 2
04 May
Skanste
2 : 0 Riga FC 2
19 Apr
Riga Mariners
2 : 2 Riga FC 2
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ogre United | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 66:20 | 58 |
| 2 | Alberts JDFS | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 60:24 | 58 |
| 3 | Riga Mariners | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 74:34 | 58 |
| 4 | JFK Ventspils | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 40:29 | 43 |
| 5 | RFS 2 | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 46:31 | 41 |
| 6 | Skanste | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 36:39 | 40 |
| 7 | Leevon PPK | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 40:40 | 36 |
| 8 | Marupe | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 30:33 | 32 |
| 9 | Rezekne | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 36:57 | 31 |
| 10 | FK Smiltene | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 46:48 | 28 |
| 11 | Riga FC 2 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 35:43 | 24 |
| 12 | Tukums 2000 2 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 37:60 | 23 |
| 13 | AFA Olaine | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 39:88 | 22 |
| 14 | Augsdaugavas | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19:58 | 14 |
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