Sport Picks

Latvia

Nakotnes liga

JFK Ventspils

0 - 1

Riga Mariners

Our Tip

Match Events

34'

Owusu R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Nakotnes liga game between JFK Ventspils and Riga Mariners finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Riga Mariners.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

JFK Ventspils

22%

Draws

60%

Riga Mariners

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Riga Mariners

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Riga Mariners carry the better recent record into this one.
Riga Mariners are the model's pick here, at 60%.
Regular Nakotnes liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Riga Mariners here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

JFK Ventspils Clean Sheet 10%

Riga Mariners Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	JFK Ventspils	Riga Mariners
Matches Played	29	32
Wins	7	20
Draws	10	8
Losses	12	4
Goals Scored	1.38	3.25
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Nakotnes liga

JFK Ventspils vs Riga Mariners

Possession: 59% - 40% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Sep 13, 2025 Nakotnes liga

JFK Ventspils vs Riga Mariners

Possession: 55% - 50% Cards: 0 - 2

1:2

May 3, 2025 Nakotnes liga

Riga Mariners vs JFK Ventspils

Possession: 50% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

JFK Ventspils Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Riga Mariners Compare

Top Goalscorer Owusu R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.95

Avg xA / game 1.81

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JFK Ventspils 18 / 100

Riga Mariners 57 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

JFK Ventspils Riga Mariners

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIG Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

JFK Ventspils found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Riga Mariners let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Solid form: JFK Ventspils remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

JFK Ventspils VS Riga Mariners

1.38 Goals Scored 3.25

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FK Metta	12	10	1	1	42:11	31
2	Valmiera	12	9	2	1	32:12	29
3	Riga Mariners	13	8	4	1	26:12	28
4	Leevon PPK	13	8	3	2	22:16	27
5	Alberts JDFS	12	6	2	4	25:20	20
6	Marupe	12	6	1	5	22:15	19
7	Super Nova 2	12	5	4	3	19:17	19
8	Riga FC 2	12	5	1	6	19:22	16
9	Skanste	12	4	1	7	20:24	13
10	JFK Ventspils	12	2	4	6	15:20	10
11	RFS 2	12	2	3	7	15:26	9
12	Tukums 2000 2	12	2	2	8	16:31	8
13	Rezekne	12	1	2	9	10:36	5
14	FK Smiltene	12	0	4	8	12:33	4