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JFK Ventspils vs Valmiera

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga
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Match Events

87' Event
Lopes G.
90' Event
Lopes G.

AI Match Summary

Valmiera in this Nakotnes liga matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valmiera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
JFK Ventspils
6%
Draws
90%
Valmiera
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Valmiera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Valmiera has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to JFK Ventspils.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Valmiera.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Nakotnes liga provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
JFK Ventspils Clean Sheet 14%
Valmiera Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric JFK Ventspils Valmiera
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 16
Draws 10 3
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Nakotnes liga
JFK Ventspils vs Valmiera
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

JFK Ventspils Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Valmiera Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopes G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JFK Ventspils 10 / 100
Valmiera 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
JFK Ventspils Valmiera

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

JFK Ventspils scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Valmiera let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

JFK Ventspils went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Valmiera lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

JFK Ventspils VS Valmiera
1 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Metta12101142:1131
2Valmiera1292132:1229
3Riga Mariners1284025:1028
4Leevon PPK1273220:1524
5Alberts JDFS1262425:2020
6Marupe1261522:1519
7Super Nova 21254319:1719
8Riga FC 21251619:2216
9Skanste1241720:2413
10JFK Ventspils1224615:2010
11RFS 21223715:269
12Tukums 2000 21222816:318
13Rezekne1212910:365
14FK Smiltene1204812:334