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JFK Ventspils vs Valmiera

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
JFK Ventspils Logo

JFK Ventspils

0 - 2
FT
Valmiera Logo

Valmiera

Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Lopes G.
90' Event
Lopes G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Valmiera in this 1. Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valmiera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
JFK Ventspils
20%
Draws
71%
Valmiera
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Valmiera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • JFK Ventspils haven't matched Valmiera's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Valmiera's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
JFK Ventspils Clean Sheet 10%
Valmiera Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric JFK Ventspils Valmiera
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 21
Draws 9 2
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.28 3.07
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 1. Liga
JFK Ventspils vs Valmiera
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

JFK Ventspils Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Valmiera Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopes G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JFK Ventspils 10 / 100
Valmiera 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
JFK Ventspils Valmiera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valmiera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

JFK Ventspils found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Valmiera conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: JFK Ventspils remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

JFK Ventspils VS Valmiera
1 Goals Scored 3
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

JFK Ventspils

(Home)
29 Aug
JFK Ventspils
1 : 1
Riga FC 2
08 Aug
JFK Ventspils
0 : 2
Super Nova 2
02 Aug
JFK Ventspils
1 : 2
FK Smiltene
25 Jul
Riga Mariners
1 : 1
JFK Ventspils
18 Jul
JFK Ventspils
1 : 3
Alberts JDFS
Page 1 of 6

Valmiera

(Away)
30 Aug
Rezekne
1 : 6
Valmiera
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
08 Aug
FK Smiltene
1 : 4
Valmiera
01 Aug
Valmiera
2 : 1
RFS 2
27 Jul
Valmiera
3 : 0
Riga FC 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 18 15 2 1 54:16 47
2 FK Metta 18 15 2 1 77:14 47
3 Leevon PPK 18 13 3 2 33:21 42
4 Riga Mariners 18 12 5 1 40:17 41
5 Alberts JDFS 18 10 4 4 37:24 34
6 Marupe 19 8 1 10 29:32 25
7 Super Nova 2 19 6 6 7 26:28 24
8 Skanste 18 7 2 9 37:35 23
9 Riga FC 2 18 6 3 9 25:34 21
10 Tukums 2000 2 17 3 3 11 23:51 12
11 JFK Ventspils 17 2 6 9 19:29 12
12 RFS 2 18 3 3 12 24:51 12
13 FK Smiltene 18 2 4 12 21:53 10
14 Rezekne 18 1 2 15 14:54 5
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