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Ji-Parana vs AD Jaruense

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Rondoniense 2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ji-Parana play AD Jaruense in the Campeonato Rondoniense 2007. Ji-Parana are favorites here. Recently, Ji-Parana averaged 1.37 goals scored and 0.53 conceded. AD Jaruense averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Ji-Parana won 1, AD Jaruense won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 15, 2007 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Ji-Parana and 1.00 for AD Jaruense. This points to a Ji-Parana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Ji-Parana
25%
Draws
15%
AD Jaruense
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Ji-Parana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Ji-Parana picked up more points recently compared to AD Jaruense.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Ji-Parana Clean Sheet 23%
AD Jaruense Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ji-Parana AD Jaruense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.37 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.53 1.47

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2007 Rondoniense
Ji-Parana vs AD Jaruense
4:0
Mar 18, 2007 Rondoniense
AD Jaruense vs Ji-Parana
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ji-Parana 59 / 100
AD Jaruense 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ji-Parana AD Jaruense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ji-Parana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Ji-Parana & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.5%
3.23
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ji-Parana attacking → ← attacking AD Jaruense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ji-Parana scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

AD Jaruense let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ji-Parana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

AD Jaruense lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 45
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1SC Ulbra Ji Parana1266020:624
2AD Jaruense1263323:1321
3Vilhena1255218:1320
4Genus1252523:2117
5Uniao Cacoalense1244421:1616
6Ji-Parana1223716:239
7Pimentense122197:367