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Ji-Parana vs CA Rondoniense

Brazil Brazil

Rondoniense
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Marcelo

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with CA Rondoniense advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ji-Parana
6%
Draws
4%
CA Rondoniense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ji-Parana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ji-Parana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ji-Parana are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Ji-Parana have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor CA Rondoniense, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Ji-Parana Clean Sheet 20%
CA Rondoniense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ji-Parana CA Rondoniense
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 10 6
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 2.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Rondoniense
Ji-Parana vs CA Rondoniense
0:1
Mar 15, 2026 Rondoniense
CA Rondoniense vs Ji-Parana
1:1
Feb 12, 2026 Rondoniense
CA Rondoniense vs Ji-Parana
0:1
Feb 1, 2026 Rondoniense
Ji-Parana vs CA Rondoniense
1:0
Mar 26, 2023 Rondoniense
Ji-Parana vs CA Rondoniense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ji-Parana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

CA Rondoniense Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcelo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ji-Parana 85 / 100
CA Rondoniense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ji-Parana CA Rondoniense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JIP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Rondoniense let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Ji-Parana has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ji-Parana scored in 50% of their last 34 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ji-Parana VS CA Rondoniense
2.13 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ji-Parana

(Home)
18 Mar
Ji-Parana
0 : 1
CA Rondoniense
15 Mar
CA Rondoniense
1 : 1
Ji-Parana
12 Mar
Ji-Parana
3 : 0
Genus
09 Mar
Guapore
1 : 1
Ji-Parana
05 Mar
Porto Velho
0 : 0
Ji-Parana
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CA Rondoniense

(Away)
28 Mar
Guapore
0 : 0
CA Rondoniense
21 Mar
CA Rondoniense
0 : 1
Guapore
18 Mar
Ji-Parana
0 : 1
CA Rondoniense
15 Mar
CA Rondoniense
1 : 1
Ji-Parana
12 Mar
Guapore
2 : 2
CA Rondoniense
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Ji-Parana1
CA Rondoniense2
Porto Velho1
Guapore3
Final
CA Rondoniense0
Guapore1