Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ji-Parana vs CA Rondoniense

Brazil Brazil

Rondoniense
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Marcelo

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ji-Parana
35%
Draws
32%
CA Rondoniense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Ji-Parana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ji-Parana are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Ji-Parana have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor CA Rondoniense, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Ji-Parana Clean Sheet 20%
CA Rondoniense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ji-Parana CA Rondoniense
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 10 6
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.33 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.55 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Rondoniense
Ji-Parana vs CA Rondoniense
0:1
Mar 15, 2026 Rondoniense
CA Rondoniense vs Ji-Parana
1:1
Feb 12, 2026 Rondoniense
CA Rondoniense vs Ji-Parana
0:1
Feb 1, 2026 Rondoniense
Ji-Parana vs CA Rondoniense
1:0
Mar 26, 2023 Rondoniense
Ji-Parana vs CA Rondoniense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ji-Parana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

CA Rondoniense Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcelo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ji-Parana 85 / 100
CA Rondoniense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ji-Parana CA Rondoniense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ji-Parana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Rondoniense let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Ji-Parana has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ji-Parana scored in 48% of their last 33 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ji-Parana VS CA Rondoniense
2.13 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ji-Parana

(Home)
18 Mar
Ji-Parana
0 : 1
CA Rondoniense
15 Mar
CA Rondoniense
1 : 1
Ji-Parana
12 Mar
Ji-Parana
3 : 0
Genus
09 Mar
Guapore
1 : 1
Ji-Parana
05 Mar
Porto Velho
0 : 0
Ji-Parana
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CA Rondoniense

(Away)
28 Mar
Guapore
0 : 0
CA Rondoniense
21 Mar
CA Rondoniense
0 : 1
Guapore
18 Mar
Ji-Parana
0 : 1
CA Rondoniense
15 Mar
CA Rondoniense
1 : 1
Ji-Parana
12 Mar
Guapore
2 : 2
CA Rondoniense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Ji-Parana 1
CA Rondoniense 2
Porto Velho 1
Guapore 3
Final
CA Rondoniense 0
Guapore 1