Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ji-Parana vs Porto Velho

Brazil Brazil

Rondoniense 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ji-Parana play Porto Velho in the Rondoniense 2025. Porto Velho are favorites here. Recently, Ji-Parana averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.58 conceded. Porto Velho averaged 1.93 goals scored and 0.76 conceded. In past meetings, Ji-Parana won 1, Porto Velho won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 5, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Ji-Parana and 1.00 for Porto Velho. This points to a Porto Velho double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Ji-Parana
25%
Draws
60%
Porto Velho
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Porto Velho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Ji-Parana picked up more points recently compared to Porto Velho.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Ji-Parana Clean Sheet 23%
Porto Velho Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ji-Parana Porto Velho
Matches Played 33 46
Wins 17 28
Draws 9 9
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.33 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.58 0.76

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 Rondoniense
Porto Velho vs Ji-Parana
0:0
Jan 25, 2026 Rondoniense
Ji-Parana vs Porto Velho
1:0
Apr 2, 2025 Rondoniense
Ji-Parana vs Porto Velho
0:0
Feb 25, 2025 Rondoniense
Porto Velho vs Ji-Parana
2:0
Apr 13, 2024 Rondoniense
Porto Velho vs Ji-Parana
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ji-Parana 18 / 100
Porto Velho 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ji-Parana Porto Velho

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porto Velho Win (2)
Secondary Pick Porto Velho & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ji-Parana attacking → ← attacking Porto Velho

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ji-Parana scored in 48% of their last 33 games.

Porto Velho let in goals in 61% of their last 46 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Ji-Parana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Porto Velho lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 93
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Porto Velho12101120:731
2Guapore1263319:1121
3Ji-Parana1263314:921
4Barcelona RO1251615:1216
5Genus1244418:1016
6Rolim de Moura1233612:1512
7Vilhena1201114:381