Sport Picks

South Korea

K4 League

Sejong SA

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This K4 League encounter between Jincheon and Sejong SA promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Jincheon averages 2.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded in recent matches. Sejong SA shows a form average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Jincheon, 0 wins for Sejong SA, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 28.03.26 ended in a 4:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.63 for Jincheon and 1.25 for Sejong SA, suggesting the primary value lies in the Jincheon double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Jincheon

19%

Draws

30%

Sejong SA

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Jincheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Jincheon picked up more points recently compared to Sejong SA.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Jincheon Clean Sheet 19%

Sejong SA Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Jincheon	Sejong SA
Matches Played	15	17
Wins	9	8
Draws	4	2
Losses	2	7
Goals Scored	2	1.47
Goals Conceded	0.73	1.47
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

28.03.26 K4 League

Jincheon vs Sejong SA

Possession: 56% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

4:1

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Jincheon

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)

Attacking Style Keep the ball

Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses

Defensive Alignment Sit deep

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sejong SA

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)

Attacking Style Keep the ball

Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jincheon 50 / 100

Sejong SA 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Jincheon Sejong SA

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jincheon or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18.8%

2.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Jincheon is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Jincheon 56%

Sejong SA 24%

15' - 30' Dominance Index

Sejong SA will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Jincheon's attacks.

Jincheon 48%

Sejong SA 32%

30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect Jincheon to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Jincheon 51%

Sejong SA 30%

45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Jincheon vary their attacking width.

Jincheon 54%

Sejong SA 29%

60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Sejong SA, allowing Jincheon's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Jincheon 46%

Sejong SA 33%

75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect a final offensive push from Jincheon, while Sejong SA takes risks to salvage a result.

Jincheon 59%

Sejong SA 35%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jincheon attacking → ← attacking Sejong SA

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jincheon have found the net in 80% of their last 15 matches.

Sejong SA have conceded at least one goal in 76% of their last 17 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 5.00 goals per match.

Jincheon remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Sejong SA suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 26

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Jinju Citizen	15	13	1	1	38:12	40
2	Jincheon	15	9	4	2	30:11	31
3	Geumsan Insam	15	6	6	3	25:17	24
4	Jecheon Citizen	15	6	6	3	16:17	24
5	Seoul Jungnang	15	6	4	5	24:19	22
6	Namyangju	15	5	5	5	18:19	20
7	Pyeongchang United	15	6	2	7	19:21	20
8	Sejong SA	14	6	2	6	19:23	20
9	Geoje	14	5	3	6	26:21	18
10	Gijang United	15	5	2	8	19:26	17
11	Haman	15	4	2	9	15:26	14
12	Pyeongtaek Citizen	15	2	3	10	16:32	9
13	Seosan Pioneer	14	3	0	11	15:36	9