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Jinju Citizen vs Chungnam Asan

South Korea South Korea

Korean Cup 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jinju Citizen play Chungnam Asan in the Korean Cup 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jinju Citizen averaged 2.15 goals scored and 1.11 conceded. Chungnam Asan averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, Jinju Citizen won 1, Chungnam Asan won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 23, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Jinju Citizen and 1.19 for Chungnam Asan. This points to a Jinju Citizen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Jinju Citizen
21%
Draws
30%
Chungnam Asan
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Jinju Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Jinju Citizen picked up more points recently compared to Chungnam Asan.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Jinju Citizen Clean Sheet 20%
Chungnam Asan Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jinju Citizen Chungnam Asan
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 18 12
Draws 2 9
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2.15 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2024 Korean Cup
Jinju Citizen vs Chungnam Asan
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jinju Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kong Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Chungnam Asan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jinju Citizen 48 / 100
Chungnam Asan 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jinju Citizen Chungnam Asan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jinju Citizen or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jinju Citizen attacking → ← attacking Chungnam Asan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jinju Citizen scored in 89% of their last 27 games.

Chungnam Asan let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Jinju Citizen went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Chungnam Asan lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 45
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88