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Jinju Citizen vs Gijang United

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
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AI Match Summary

Jinju Citizen host Gijang United in the K4 League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Jinju Citizen at 2.63 goals for, 1.13 against; Gijang United at 1.38 for, 1.63 against. Past meetings favor Jinju Citizen slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (2.13 - 1.25) back Jinju Citizen to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Jinju Citizen
6%
Draws
4%
Gijang United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jinju Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Jinju Citizen has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Gijang United.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Jinju Citizen.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in K4 League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Jinju Citizen Clean Sheet 19%
Gijang United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jinju Citizen Gijang United
Matches Played 27 18
Wins 18 6
Draws 2 2
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 K4 League
Jinju Citizen vs Gijang United
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jinju Citizen 85 / 100
Gijang United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jinju Citizen Gijang United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jinju Citizen scored in 89% of their last 27 games.

Gijang United let in goals in 78% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Jinju Citizen went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Gijang United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jinju Citizen VS Gijang United
2.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jinju Citizen15131138:1240
2Jincheon1594230:1131
3Geumsan Insam1566325:1724
4Jecheon Citizen1566316:1724
5Seoul Jungnang1564524:1922
6Namyangju1555518:1920
7Pyeongchang United1562719:2120
8Sejong SA1462619:2320
9Geoje1453626:2118
10Gijang United1552819:2617
11Haman1542915:2614
12Pyeongtaek Citizen15231016:329
13Seosan Pioneer14301115:369