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JKT Tanzania vs Kagera Sugar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Isamuhyo Stadium, Dar es Salaam
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

JKT Tanzania host Kagera Sugar in the Ligi Kuu Bara. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: JKT Tanzania at 1.07 goals for, 1.27 against; Kagera Sugar at 0.9 for, 1.66 against. Head-to-head, JKT Tanzania have won 2 to Kagera Sugar's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2025, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.31) point toward JKT Tanzania. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
JKT Tanzania
15%
Draws
26%
Kagera Sugar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: JKT Tanzania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • JKT Tanzania carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on JKT Tanzania taking it.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
JKT Tanzania Clean Sheet 18%
Kagera Sugar Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric JKT Tanzania Kagera Sugar
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.07 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
JKT Tanzania vs Kagera Sugar
2:0
Sep 16, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kagera Sugar vs JKT Tanzania
0:0
Mar 2, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kagera Sugar vs JKT Tanzania
1:1
Sep 29, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
JKT Tanzania vs Kagera Sugar
1:1
Jan 1, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
JKT Tanzania vs Kagera Sugar
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JKT Tanzania 67 / 100
Kagera Sugar 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
JKT Tanzania Kagera Sugar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JKT Tanzania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kagera Sugar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

JKT Tanzania's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

JKT Tanzania went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kagera Sugar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

JKT Tanzania VS Kagera Sugar
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

JKT Tanzania

(Home)
09 Oct
Fountain Gate
1 : 2
JKT Tanzania
12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1
JKT Tanzania
05 Sept
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0
Pamba
29 Aug
JKT Tanzania
2 : 1
Namungo
24 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 0
JKT Tanzania
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Kagera Sugar

(Away)
09 Oct
Mbeya City
1 : 3
Kagera Sugar
13 Sept
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1
Fountain Gate
31 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2
Azam
27 Aug
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Kagera Sugar
22 Aug
Geita Gold
6 : 2
Kagera Sugar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 8 8 0 0 19:4 24
2 Young Africans 7 6 0 1 17:4 18
3 Azam 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
4 Mashujaa 8 4 0 4 9:13 12
5 Singida Black Stars 8 3 2 3 14:11 11
6 Dodoma Jiji 7 3 2 2 5:5 11
7 Polisi Tanzania 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
8 Mbeya City 7 3 1 3 7:7 10
9 JKT Tanzania 7 3 1 3 9:11 10
10 Coastal Union 8 3 1 4 7:11 10
11 Namungo 8 3 0 5 7:11 9
12 Geita Gold 7 2 1 4 9:12 7
13 TRA United 7 1 3 3 6:7 6
14 Kagera Sugar 7 1 2 4 8:15 5
15 Pamba 7 1 1 5 8:13 4
16 Fountain Gate 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)