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JKT Tanzania vs Mbeya City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Isamuhyo Stadium, Dar es Salaam
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

JKT Tanzania host Mbeya City in the Ligi Kuu Bara. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. JKT Tanzania have averaged 1.1 scored and 1.23 conceded recently, against Mbeya City's 0.9 scored and 1.27 conceded. Head-to-head, JKT Tanzania have won 1 to Mbeya City's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.75 - 1.44) back JKT Tanzania to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
JKT Tanzania
15%
Draws
37%
Mbeya City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: JKT Tanzania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • JKT Tanzania carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
JKT Tanzania Clean Sheet 16%
Mbeya City Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric JKT Tanzania Mbeya City
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.1 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
JKT Tanzania vs Mbeya City
1:0
Oct 24, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs JKT Tanzania
2:2
Apr 28, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs JKT Tanzania
6:1
Nov 24, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
JKT Tanzania vs Mbeya City
0:1
Jun 27, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs JKT Tanzania
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JKT Tanzania 30 / 100
Mbeya City 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
JKT Tanzania Mbeya City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JKT Tanzania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: JKT Tanzania scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Mbeya City let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

JKT Tanzania went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

JKT Tanzania VS Mbeya City
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

JKT Tanzania

(Home)
09 Oct
Fountain Gate
1 : 2
JKT Tanzania
12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1
JKT Tanzania
05 Sept
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0
Pamba
29 Aug
JKT Tanzania
2 : 1
Namungo
24 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 0
JKT Tanzania
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Mbeya City

(Away)
09 Oct
Mbeya City
1 : 3
Kagera Sugar
12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0
Mbeya City
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0
Mbeya City
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Mbeya City
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1
Mashujaa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 8 8 0 0 19:4 24
2 Young Africans 7 6 0 1 17:4 18
3 Azam 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
4 Mashujaa 8 4 0 4 9:13 12
5 Singida Black Stars 8 3 2 3 14:11 11
6 Dodoma Jiji 7 3 2 2 5:5 11
7 Polisi Tanzania 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
8 Mbeya City 7 3 1 3 7:7 10
9 JKT Tanzania 7 3 1 3 9:11 10
10 Coastal Union 8 3 1 4 7:11 10
11 Namungo 8 3 0 5 7:11 9
12 Geita Gold 7 2 1 4 9:12 7
13 TRA United 7 1 3 3 6:7 6
14 Kagera Sugar 7 1 2 4 8:15 5
15 Pamba 7 1 1 5 8:13 4
16 Fountain Gate 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)