Sport Picks
JKT Tanzania vs Mbeya City
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Isamuhyo Stadium, Dar es Salaam 
Match Events
10'
10'
Bajana S.
32'
32'
Wahabi H.
36'
36'
Mussa H.
AI Match Summary
JKT Tanzania in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored JKT Tanzania.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mbeya City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to JKT Tanzania lately — more wins on the board than Mbeya City.
- Win probability leans Mbeya City's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
JKT Tanzania Clean Sheet 18%
Mbeya City Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | JKT Tanzania | Mbeya City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
JKT Tanzania vs Mbeya City
1:0
Oct 24, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs JKT Tanzania
2:2
Apr 28, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs JKT Tanzania
6:1
Nov 24, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
JKT Tanzania vs Mbeya City
0:1
Jun 27, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs JKT Tanzania
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
JKT Tanzania Compare
Top Goalscorer Mussa P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Mbeya City Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
JKT Tanzania 28 / 100
Mbeya City 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
JKT Tanzania Mbeya City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mbeya City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
JKT Tanzania scored in 61% of their last 31 games.
Mbeya City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
JKT Tanzania went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
JKT Tanzania VS Mbeya City
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
JKT Tanzania
(Home) 12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1 JKT Tanzania
05 Sept
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0 Pamba
29 Aug
JKT Tanzania
2 : 1 Namungo
24 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 0 JKT Tanzania
20 Aug
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 JKT Tanzania
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0 Pamba
29 Aug
JKT Tanzania
2 : 1 Namungo
16 Aug
JKT Tanzania
1 : 1 TRA United
30 Jun
JKT Tanzania
0 : 3 Young Africans
18 Jun
JKT Tanzania
0 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 4
Mbeya City
(Away) 12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 Mbeya City
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0 Mbeya City
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Mbeya City
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1 Mashujaa
19 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Dodoma Jiji
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 Mbeya City
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0 Mbeya City
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Mbeya City
08 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0 Mbeya City
27 Jun
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 1 Mbeya City
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 71:9 | 75 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 54:11 | 73 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 46:12 | 64 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 47:35 | 50 |
| 5 | TRA United | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33:28 | 43 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 7 | Pamba | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Coastal Union | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 25:36 | 35 |
| 10 | Namungo | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 25:32 | 34 |
| 11 | Mashujaa | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 15:27 | 33 |
| 12 | Fountain Gate | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25:44 | 33 |
| 13 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 23:41 | 32 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24:41 | 30 |
| 15 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 25:48 | 27 |
| 16 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16:53 | 9 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)
