Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Isamuhyo Stadium

JKT Tanzania

1 - 0

Mbeya City

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Bajana S.

32'

Wahabi H.

36'

Mussa H.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

JKT Tanzania in this Ligi Kuu Bara matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored JKT Tanzania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

JKT Tanzania

22%

Draws

60%

Mbeya City

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Mbeya City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to JKT Tanzania lately — more wins on the board than Mbeya City.
Win probability leans Mbeya City's way, sitting at 60%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%

JKT Tanzania Clean Sheet 23%

Mbeya City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	JKT Tanzania	Mbeya City
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	7
Draws	11	9
Losses	9	14
Goals Scored	0.88	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

JKT Tanzania vs Mbeya City

Possession: 56% - 51% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Oct 24, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mbeya City vs JKT Tanzania

Possession: 55% - 40% Cards: 4 - 0

2:2

Apr 28, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mbeya City vs JKT Tanzania

Possession: 47% - 59% Cards: 4 - 2

6:1

Nov 24, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara

JKT Tanzania vs Mbeya City

Possession: 59% - 52% Cards: 1 - 4

0:1

Jun 27, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mbeya City vs JKT Tanzania

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 0 - 1

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

JKT Tanzania Compare

Top Goalscorer Mussa P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Mbeya City Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JKT Tanzania 21 / 100

Mbeya City 68 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

JKT Tanzania Mbeya City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MBE Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

JKT Tanzania scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Mbeya City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

JKT Tanzania went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

JKT Tanzania VS Mbeya City

0.88 Goals Scored 0.75

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25

63% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 13%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	71:9	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	54:11	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	46:12	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	47:35	50
5	TRA United	30	11	10	9	33:28	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	30:33	42
7	Pamba	30	9	9	12	32:35	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	31:37	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	25:36	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	25:32	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	15:27	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	25:44	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	23:41	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	24:41	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	25:48	27
16	Kinondoni MC	30	2	3	25	16:53	9