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JKT Tanzania vs Mbeya Kwanza Prediction & H2H Stats

Tanzania Tanzania

Federation Cup 2024/2025 Isamuhyo Stadium, Dar es Salaam
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with JKT Tanzania advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
JKT Tanzania
15%
Draws
0%
Mbeya Kwanza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: JKT Tanzania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • JKT Tanzania carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans JKT Tanzania's way, sitting at 90%.
  • JKT Tanzania have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor JKT Tanzania, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
JKT Tanzania Clean Sheet 20%
Mbeya Kwanza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric JKT Tanzania Mbeya Kwanza
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.03 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2025 Federation Cup
JKT Tanzania vs Mbeya Kwanza
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JKT Tanzania 85 / 100
Mbeya Kwanza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
JKT Tanzania Mbeya Kwanza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JKT Tanzania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mbeya Kwanza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Mbeya Kwanza's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

JKT Tanzania's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

JKT Tanzania VS Mbeya Kwanza
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

JKT Tanzania

(Home)
12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1
JKT Tanzania
05 Sept
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0
Pamba
29 Aug
JKT Tanzania
2 : 1
Namungo
24 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 0
JKT Tanzania
20 Aug
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0
JKT Tanzania
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Mbeya Kwanza

(Away)
05 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
3 : 1
Mbeya Kwanza
28 Jun
Mbeya Kwanza
0 : 4
Polisi Tanzania
13 Mar
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0
Mbeya Kwanza
26 May
Mbeya Kwanza
0 : 2
Biashara Mara United
19 May
Biashara Mara United
2 : 0
Mbeya Kwanza
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Young Africans 2
Songea United 0
Stand United 3
Giraffe Academy 1
JKT Tanzania 3
Mbeya Kwanza 0
Mashujaa 0
Pamba 1
Simba 2
Bigman 1
Mbeya City 2
Mtibwa Sugar 1
Singida Black Stars 1
Kinondoni MC 0
TRA United 1
Kagera Sugar 2
Quarter-finals
Young Africans 8
Stand United 1
JKT Tanzania 3
Pamba 1
Simba 3
Mbeya City 1
Singida Black Stars 2
Kagera Sugar 0
Semi-finals
Young Africans 2
JKT Tanzania 0
Simba 1
Singida Black Stars 3
Final
Young Africans 2
Singida Black Stars 0