Sport Picks

Stadium Background

JKT Tanzania vs Pamba

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Isamuhyo Stadium, Dar es Salaam
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Bakari M.
Assist: Fikiri A.
4' Event
Bakari M.
Assist: Songo E.
6'
Bajana S.

AI Match Summary

JKT Tanzania in this Ligi Kuu Bara matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored JKT Tanzania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
JKT Tanzania
15%
Draws
0%
Pamba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: JKT Tanzania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Pamba haven't matched JKT Tanzania's recent run of results.
  • JKT Tanzania are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors JKT Tanzania here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
JKT Tanzania Clean Sheet 68%
Pamba Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric JKT Tanzania Pamba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
JKT Tanzania vs Pamba
3:0
Jun 27, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs JKT Tanzania
1:2
Feb 2, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
JKT Tanzania vs Pamba
3:0
Jun 18, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs JKT Tanzania
1:0
Apr 14, 2025 Federation Cup
JKT Tanzania vs Pamba
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

JKT Tanzania Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakari M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Peter P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Pamba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JKT Tanzania 77 / 100
Pamba 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
JKT Tanzania Pamba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JKT Tanzania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Pamba has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: JKT Tanzania scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Pamba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

JKT Tanzania VS Pamba
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

JKT Tanzania

(Home)
12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1
JKT Tanzania
05 Sept
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0
Pamba
29 Aug
JKT Tanzania
2 : 1
Namungo
24 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 0
JKT Tanzania
20 Aug
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0
JKT Tanzania
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Pamba

(Away)
13 Sept
Pamba
1 : 3
TRA United
05 Sept
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0
Pamba
28 Aug
Young Africans
2 : 0
Pamba
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
Pamba
19 Aug
Pamba
1 : 2
Simba
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 6 6 0 0 16:2 18
2 Simba 6 6 0 0 11:2 18
3 Azam 7 4 2 1 11:7 14
4 Singida Black Stars 6 3 1 2 13:9 10
5 Polisi Tanzania 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
6 Mbeya City 6 3 1 2 6:4 10
7 Dodoma Jiji 6 3 1 2 4:4 10
8 Mashujaa 6 3 0 3 6:6 9
9 Geita Gold 6 2 1 3 9:8 7
10 JKT Tanzania 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
11 Coastal Union 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
12 TRA United 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
13 Namungo 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
14 Fountain Gate 6 1 1 4 2:9 4
15 Kagera Sugar 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
16 Pamba 6 0 1 5 4:13 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)