Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jocoro vs Chalatenango

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Henriquez G.
17' Event
Acuna L.
29' Event
Cetre D.

AI Match Summary

Chalatenango in this Primera Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chalatenango.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Jocoro
20%
Draws
40%
Chalatenango
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Chalatenango haven't matched Jocoro's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Chalatenango a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Jocoro Clean Sheet 15%
Chalatenango Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jocoro Chalatenango
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 8 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 Primera Division
Chalatenango vs Jocoro
1:2
Mar 11, 2023 Primera Division
Jocoro vs Chalatenango
1:4
Oct 23, 2022 Primera Division
Jocoro vs Chalatenango
4:0
Oct 1, 2022 Primera Division
Chalatenango vs Jocoro
0:0
Apr 23, 2022 Primera Division
Jocoro vs Chalatenango
6:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jocoro Compare

Top Goalscorer Acuna L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Chalatenango Compare

Top Goalscorer Henriquez G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cetre D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jocoro 27 / 100
Chalatenango 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jocoro Chalatenango

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chalatenango Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chalatenango let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Chalatenango lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Jocoro found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (34 games).

Scoring Trends

Jocoro VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jocoro

(Home)
04 May
Santa Tecla
3 : 4
Jocoro
01 May
Jocoro
1 : 4
Luis Angel Firpo
28 Apr
Jocoro
0 : 1
Municipal Limeno
25 Apr
Metapan
2 : 0
Jocoro
21 Apr
Jocoro
0 : 0
Aguila
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Chalatenango

(Away)
13 May
Atletico Marte
1 : 2
Chalatenango
07 May
Chalatenango
1 : 2
Jocoro
30 Apr
Chalatenango
0 : 0
Platense Municipal
26 Apr
Aguila
2 : 1
Chalatenango
23 Apr
Chalatenango
2 : 3
11 Deportivo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguila 22 15 4 3 34:14 49
2 Alianza FC 22 10 9 3 32:15 39
3 11 Deportivo 22 7 10 5 23:17 31
4 Dragon 22 8 6 8 23:21 30
5 Luis Angel Firpo 22 6 11 5 20:17 29
6 Metapan 22 7 8 7 29:28 29
7 FAS 22 7 6 9 24:26 27
8 Jocoro 22 8 3 11 25:36 27
9 Santa Tecla 22 6 7 9 26:29 25
10 Chalatenango 22 7 4 11 27:39 25
11 Atletico Marte 22 5 8 9 25:31 23
12 Platense Municipal 22 5 6 11 24:39 21
Promotion - Primera Division 2022/2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)