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Jocoro vs Metapan Prediction & H2H Stats

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Argueta J. C.

AI Match Summary

Jocoro in this Primera Division 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jocoro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Jocoro
20%
Draws
57%
Metapan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Metapan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Metapan have won more games recently than Jocoro.
  • Metapan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Jocoro Clean Sheet 20%
Metapan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jocoro Metapan
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 6 17
Draws 5 9
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0.9 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2024 Primera Division
Metapan vs Jocoro
2:0
Feb 24, 2024 Primera Division
Jocoro vs Metapan
1:0
Nov 15, 2023 Primera Division
Jocoro vs Metapan
2:1
Sep 21, 2023 Primera Division
Metapan vs Jocoro
1:1
Apr 8, 2023 Primera Division
Jocoro vs Metapan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jocoro Compare

Top Goalscorer Argueta J. C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Metapan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jocoro 10 / 100
Metapan 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jocoro Metapan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metapan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metapan let in goals in 67% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Jocoro scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Jocoro remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Metapan
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jocoro

(Home)
04 May
Santa Tecla
3 : 4
Jocoro
01 May
Jocoro
1 : 4
Luis Angel Firpo
28 Apr
Jocoro
0 : 1
Municipal Limeno
25 Apr
Metapan
2 : 0
Jocoro
21 Apr
Jocoro
0 : 0
Aguila
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Metapan

(Away)
27 Sept
Metapan
2 : 0
Cacahuatique
19 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
0 : 0
Metapan
13 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 2
Metapan
09 Sept
Platense Municipal
1 : 2
Metapan
06 Sept
Metapan
0 : 1
Inca Aruba
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 22 13 6 3 39:13 45
2 Luis Angel Firpo 22 13 3 6 47:30 42
3 Municipal Limeno 22 12 3 7 33:25 39
4 Aguila 22 10 8 4 29:18 38
5 FAS 22 8 8 6 26:24 32
6 Platense Municipal 22 9 5 8 26:29 32
7 Metapan 22 9 4 9 24:22 31
8 11 Deportivo 22 8 7 7 22:24 31
9 Dragon 22 9 3 10 27:33 30
10 Santa Tecla 22 5 5 12 26:39 20
11 Fuerte San Francisco 22 4 5 13 19:30 17
12 Jocoro 22 2 3 17 13:44 9
Promotion - Primera Division 2023/2024 (Clausura - Play Offs)