Sport Picks
Jogeva vs Tallinna Kalev Prediction & H2H Stats
Estonia
Estonian Cup 2014/2015 
Match Events
34'
34'
Omanidze L.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-1, with Tallinna Kalev advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
20%
32%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jogeva
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- Tallinna Kalev carry the better recent record into this one.
- 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Tallinna Kalev arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Tallinna Kalev, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Jogeva Clean Sheet 10%
Tallinna Kalev Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jogeva | Tallinna Kalev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 22 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 1 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.05 | 2.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.82 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 26, 2014 Estonian Cup
Jogeva vs Tallinna Kalev
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jogeva Compare
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Tallinna Kalev Compare
Top Goalscorer Omanidze L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.21
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jogeva 30 / 100
Tallinna Kalev 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jogeva Tallinna Kalev
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tallinna Kalev Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jogeva found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (20 games).
Tallinna Kalev let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Tallinna Kalev lost 3 of their last 5 games.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
- VS Tallinna Kalev
0 Goals Scored 3.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Jogeva
(Home) 10 Jul
Nomme Utd
: Jogeva
12 Aug
Jogeva
1 : 2 FC Hell Hunt
27 Jun
Jogeva
2 : 4 Otepaa
25 Sept
Narva
8 : 0 Jogeva
23 Aug
Tallinn Piraaja
3 : 4 Jogeva
Page 1 of 5
12 Aug
Jogeva
1 : 2 FC Hell Hunt
27 Jun
Jogeva
2 : 4 Otepaa
18 Jul
Jogeva
7 : 3 Otepaa
21 Jun
Jogeva
4 : 1 Imavere Forss
29 Jul
Jogeva
1 : 4 Metropool Parnu
Page 1 of 3
Tallinna Kalev
(Away) 24 Sept
Elva
3 : 2 Tallinna Kalev
18 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
2 : 2 Flora Tallinn U21
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1 Tallinna Kalev
05 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 1 Tartu JK Welco
29 Aug
Flora Tallinn U21
5 : 0 Tallinna Kalev
Page 1 of 6
24 Sept
Elva
3 : 2 Tallinna Kalev
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1 Tallinna Kalev
29 Aug
Flora Tallinn U21
5 : 0 Tallinna Kalev
20 Aug
Kalju U21
0 : 3 Tallinna Kalev
03 Aug
Viimsi JK
1 : 2 Tallinna Kalev
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 5
Santos Tartu 4
Rapla Lokomotiiv 0
Narva United 2
Rada Kuusalu 9
Tartu Ulikool 0
SK EPMU Tartu 2
Tammeka Tartu 5
Flora U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tapa -
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts 5
Lootos FCR 2
Virtsu 1
Igiliikur 5
Retro 5
Tallinn Piraaja 1
TBD -
Valga Warrior -
Rapla -
TBD -
FCP Parnu 0
FC Tartu 4
Tabasalu 3
JK Jalgpallihaigla 2
Kadakas 0
Kaitseliit 2
Nomme Utd 10
Anija 0
Lelle 1
Ulikool Tallinn 5
FCI Tallinn II 7
Paidelona 0
TBD -
Elva -
Otepaa -
TBD -
Castovanni Eagles 0
Rakvere 3
Metropool Parnu 9
Haiba 0
Fellin 1
Raasiku Valla 2
Ulikool Tallinn II -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Ararat -
Kivioli Irbis -
TBD -
Loo JK 1
Saku Sporting 3
Reaal -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu 1
SK Taaksi 2
Keila JK 12
Somnium 1
TBD -
Puuma -
Tartu Tehased 4
Twister Tallinn 1
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Flora 7
Tulevik 0
TBD -
JK Visadus -
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
TBD -
Kose -
Levadia -
TBD -
Aseri Askele 1
Tallinna Kalev II 6
Imavere Forss 6
Helios 1
Eston Villa 1
Saue JK Laagri 2
FCI Tallinn 16
JK Poseidon 0
Viimsi Ehitus 2
Raasiku Joker 8
Soccernet -
TBD -
Pirita 0
Voru 1
Tallinna Dnipro -
Vutihoolikud -
Shnelli 0
Maardu United 8
Viimsi MRJK 6
Jarva-Jaani 1
Narva 1
Sillamae Kalev 3
Johvi Phoenix -
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS -
Tartu Taara 0
Vandra Vaprus 8
IAFA Estonia -
TBD -
Raudne Rusikas 2
Tallinna Kalev III 3
Jogeva -
TBD -
TBD -
Lasnamae -
Navi Vutiselts -
TBD -
Parnu Linnameeskond 3
Tallinna Kalev 4
Maardu Linnameeskond 8
Tallinna Depoo 3
Olympic Tallinn 0
Viimsi JK 5
Torva JK 6
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Kohtla-Nomme 2
Ganvix Turi 11
Kuressaare 7
Vaatsa Vald 0
Oismae Torm 1
Merkuur Tartu 10
Ambla -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
1/32-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Narva United 1
Rada Kuusalu 1
Tammeka Tartu 4
Flora U19 4
Tapa 0
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts 0
Igiliikur 2
Retro 9
Valga Warrior 2
Rapla 1
FC Tartu 8
Tabasalu 3
Kaitseliit 0
Nomme Utd 2
Ulikool Tallinn 9
FCI Tallinn II 3
Elva 2
Otepaa 0
Rakvere 2
Metropool Parnu 3
Raasiku Valla 1
Ulikool Tallinn II 0
FC Ararat 5
Kivioli Irbis 15
Saku Sporting 0
Reaal 2
SK Taaksi 4
Keila JK 2
Puuma 1
Tartu Tehased 0
Paide Linnameeskond 17
Flora 5
JK Visadus 0
Tartu JK Welco 0
Kose 1
Levadia 19
Tallinna Kalev II 0
Imavere Forss 1
Saue JK Laagri 3
FCI Tallinn 2
Raasiku Joker 0
Soccernet 2
Voru 5
Tallinna Dnipro 2
Maardu United 0
Viimsi MRJK 0
Sillamae Kalev 11
Johvi Phoenix 2
Vandra Vaprus 1
IAFA Estonia -
Tallinna Kalev III -
Jogeva -
Lasnamae -
Navi Vutiselts 0
Tallinna Kalev 3
Maardu Linnameeskond 2
Viimsi JK 1
Torva JK 1
Ganvix Turi 4
Kuressaare 4
Merkuur Tartu 0
Ambla 0
Kalju 18
1/16-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Tammeka Tartu 1
Flora U19 2
Igiliikur 3
Retro 5
FC Tartu 2
Tabasalu 2
Ulikool Tallinn 11
FCI Tallinn II 2
Rakvere 1
Metropool Parnu 3
FC Ararat 4
Kivioli Irbis 7
SK Taaksi 3
Keila JK 0
Paide Linnameeskond 6
Flora 13
Kose 0
Levadia -
Saue JK Laagri -
FCI Tallinn 11
Voru 0
Tallinna Dnipro 0
Sillamae Kalev 13
Johvi Phoenix 3
Tallinna Kalev III 1
Jogeva 0
Tallinna Kalev 1
Maardu Linnameeskond 5
Ganvix Turi 1
Kuressaare 0
Kalju 4
1/8-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 9
Igiliikur 0
Retro 3
Ulikool Tallinn 4
FCI Tallinn II 3
FC Ararat 0
Kivioli Irbis -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Flora 11
Saue JK Laagri 0
FCI Tallinn 0
Sillamae Kalev 1
Johvi Phoenix 3
Tallinna Kalev 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 0
Kalju 4
Quarter-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 5
Ulikool Tallinn 3
FCI Tallinn II 0
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Flora 2
Sillamae Kalev 1
Johvi Phoenix 3
Kalju 5
Semi-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 1
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Flora 1
Kalju 2
Final
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Kalju 2
