Sport Picks
Match Events
31'
31'
Orr T.
69'
69'
Kerr K.
79'
79'
McShane I.
AI Match Summary
The Lowland League game between Johnstone Burgh and Dalbeattie Star finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Johnstone Burgh.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
20%
7%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Johnstone Burgh
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Johnstone Burgh carry the better recent record into this one.
- Johnstone Burgh are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Lowland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Johnstone Burgh Clean Sheet 20%
Dalbeattie Star Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Johnstone Burgh | Dalbeattie Star |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 12 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 0 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 25 |
| Goals Scored | 2.17 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 4.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.94 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Lowland League
Johnstone Burgh vs Dalbeattie Star
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Johnstone Burgh Compare
Top Goalscorer Kerr K.
1 Goals Assists Leader McShane I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47
Dalbeattie Star Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Johnstone Burgh 85 / 100
Dalbeattie Star 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Johnstone Burgh Dalbeattie Star
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Johnstone Burgh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Johnstone Burgh found the back of the net in 92% of recent matches (12 games).
Defensive concern: Dalbeattie Star conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Johnstone Burgh stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Johnstone Burgh VS Dalbeattie Star
2.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Johnstone Burgh
(Home) 16 Sept
Troon FC
1 : 2 Johnstone Burgh
12 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
4 : 4 Johnstone Burgh
29 Aug
Johnstone Burgh
4 : 0 Dalbeattie Star
22 Aug
Johnstone Burgh
3 : 2 Newton Stewart
19 Aug
Pollok
3 : 1 Johnstone Burgh
Page 1 of 3
29 Aug
Johnstone Burgh
4 : 0 Dalbeattie Star
22 Aug
Johnstone Burgh
3 : 2 Newton Stewart
08 Aug
Johnstone Burgh
2 : 2 Albion Rovers
29 Jul
Johnstone Burgh
2 : 0 Troon FC
04 Jul
Johnstone Burgh
2 : 3 Elgin City
Page 1 of 2
Dalbeattie Star
(Away) 19 Sept
Newton Stewart
2 : 1 Dalbeattie Star
15 Sept
Celtic B
2 : 0 Dalbeattie Star
12 Sept
Dalbeattie Star
1 : 6 Cumnock Juniors
29 Aug
Johnstone Burgh
4 : 0 Dalbeattie Star
22 Aug
Cumbernauld Colts
2 : 2 Dalbeattie Star
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Newton Stewart
2 : 1 Dalbeattie Star
15 Sept
Celtic B
2 : 0 Dalbeattie Star
29 Aug
Johnstone Burgh
4 : 0 Dalbeattie Star
22 Aug
Cumbernauld Colts
2 : 2 Dalbeattie Star
08 Aug
Largs Thistle
1 : 0 Dalbeattie Star
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tranent FC | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Hill Of Beath | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 3 | Linlithgow Rose | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 25:11 | 19 |
| 4 | Brechin | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:10 | 19 |
| 5 | Broxburn Athletic | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 19 |
| 6 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23:9 | 18 |
| 7 | Lochee United | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 8 | Civil Service Strollers | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 9 | Boness United | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:18 | 13 |
| 10 | East Stirlingshire | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:19 | 10 |
| 11 | Cowdenbeath | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13:15 | 9 |
| 12 | Musselburgh | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 13 | Berwick | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:17 | 5 |
| 14 | Dunipace | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:17 | 4 |
| 15 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9:22 | 3 |
| 16 | Stirling University | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9:24 | 3 |
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kilwinning Rangers | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 31:13 | 24 |
| 2 | Clydebank FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 32:18 | 20 |
| 3 | Pollok | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:12 | 20 |
| 4 | Auchinleck Talbot | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 31:12 | 19 |
| 5 | Largs Thistle | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 19 |
| 6 | Celtic B | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 28:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Caledonian Braves | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 26:21 | 16 |
| 8 | Johnstone Burgh | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 9 | Cumnock Juniors | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:14 | 14 |
| 10 | Troon FC | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 18:15 | 12 |
| 11 | Cumbernauld Colts | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20:23 | 10 |
| 12 | Albion Rovers | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:16 | 8 |
| 13 | Beith | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:24 | 8 |
| 14 | Gretna 2008 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 20:32 | 7 |
| 15 | Renfrew | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13:26 | 4 |
| 16 | Newton Stewart | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:32 | 4 |
| 17 | Dalbeattie Star | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5:30 | 1 |
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)
