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Johnstone Burgh vs Formartine Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Scottish Cup. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Johnstone Burgh at 2.13 goals for, 1.67 against; Formartine Utd at 1.82 for, 1.15 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.48 vs 1.46, favoring Formartine Utd. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Johnstone Burgh
15%
Draws
40%
Formartine Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Johnstone Burgh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Formartine Utd lately — more wins on the board than Johnstone Burgh.
  • Johnstone Burgh are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Formartine Utd arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Johnstone Burgh Clean Sheet 16%
Formartine Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Johnstone Burgh Formartine Utd
Matches Played 15 33
Wins 7 17
Draws 3 8
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.13 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Johnstone Burgh 36 / 100
Formartine Utd 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Johnstone Burgh Formartine Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Johnstone Burgh's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 15 recent games.

Formartine Utd let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Solid form: Johnstone Burgh remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Formartine Utd has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Johnstone Burgh VS Formartine Utd
1.71 Goals Scored 1.63
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.25
57% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Johnstone Burgh

(Home)
03 Oct
Newton Stewart
1 : 3
Johnstone Burgh
26 Sept
Johnstone Burgh
3 : 2
Renfrew
23 Sept
Largs Thistle
1 : 0
Johnstone Burgh
16 Sept
Troon FC
1 : 2
Johnstone Burgh
12 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
4 : 4
Johnstone Burgh
Page 1 of 3

Formartine Utd

(Away)
13 Oct
Cove Rangers
2 : 1
Formartine Utd
10 Oct
Inverurie Loco Works
0 : 2
Formartine Utd
07 Oct
Formartine Utd
2 : 1
Deveronvale
03 Oct
Civil Service Strollers
0 : 2
Formartine Utd
29 Sept
Forfar Athletic
2 : 0
Formartine Utd
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Boness United 3
Irvine Meadow 2
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Edinburgh City -
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Kelty Hearts -
Rothes 0
Brora Rangers 9
Cowdenbeath 4
Berwick 0
Newton Stewart 1
Johnstone Burgh 3
Civil Service Strollers 0
Formartine Utd 2
Brechin 3
Buckie Thistle 2
Strathspey Thistle 3
Dalbeattie Star 2
Lochee United 3
Inverurie Loco Works 2
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Spartans -
Haddington Athletic 0
Cumbernauld Colts 2
Kirkintilloch Rob Roy 1
Banks O' Dee 2
Hill Of Beath 2
Glasgow University 0
Musselburgh 2
Lossiemouth 1
Gala Fairydean Rovers 0
Largs Thistle 1
Dunipace 5
Preston Athletic 2
Dumbarton -
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Keith 2
Stonehaven 1
Nairn County 0
Gretna 2008 1
Cumnock Juniors 2
Auchinleck Talbot 0
Deveronvale 2
Troon FC 3
Caledonian Braves 4
Fraserburgh 0
Beith 0
Huntly 3
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Annan -
Forres Mechanics 0
Stirling University 1
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Elgin City -
Renfrew 3
Broxburn Athletic 2
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Stirling -
Bonnyton Thistle 2
East Stirlingshire 0
Clachnacuddin 2
Bonnyrigg Rose 0
Stranraer -
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Tayport FC 3
Wick Academy 0
Penicuik 3
Kilwinning Rangers 1
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Clyde -
Threave Rovers 3
Invergordon 2
Pollok 4
Albion Rovers 1
Linlithgow Rose 0
Clydebank FC 1
Tranent FC 3
Turriff United 1
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1/64-finals
Boness United -
Forfar Athletic -
Edinburgh City -
Kelty Hearts -
Brora Rangers -
Cowdenbeath -
Johnstone Burgh -
Formartine Utd -
Brechin -
Strathspey Thistle -
Lochee United -
Spartans -
Cumbernauld Colts -
Banks O' Dee -
Hill Of Beath -
Musselburgh -
Largs Thistle -
Dunipace -
Dumbarton -
Keith -
Gretna 2008 -
Cumnock Juniors -
Troon FC -
Caledonian Braves -
Huntly -
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Stirling University -
Elgin City -
Renfrew -
Stirling -
Bonnyton Thistle -
Clachnacuddin -
Stranraer -
Tayport FC -
Penicuik -
Clyde -
Threave Rovers -
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Clydebank FC -
Tranent FC -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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