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Johor DT vs Buriram United F.C. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League Sultan Ibrahim Stadium, Johor Bahru
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Sub
Causic G. In: Savicevic V.
Out: Causic G.
17'
Silva J.
25'
Fazail A.

AI Match Summary

The AFC Champions League game between Johor DT and Buriram United F.C. finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Johor DT
35%
Draws
27%
Buriram United F.C.
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Johor DT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Johor DT come out ahead of Buriram United F.C. on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Johor DT's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Johor DT Clean Sheet 20%
Buriram United F.C. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Johor DT Buriram United F.C.
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 21 17
Draws 4 6
Losses 3 5
Goals Scored 4.29 1.96
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 AFC Champions League
Johor DT vs Buriram United F.C.
1:1
May 13, 2026 ASEAN Club Championship
Buriram United F.C. vs Johor DT
1:2
May 6, 2026 ASEAN Club Championship
Johor DT vs Buriram United F.C.
1:3
Sep 16, 2025 AFC Champions League
Buriram United F.C. vs Johor DT
2:1
Mar 11, 2025 AFC Champions League
Johor DT vs Buriram United F.C.
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Johor DT Compare

Top Goalscorer Arribas O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Buriram United F.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Schimmer S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Johor DT 85 / 100
Buriram United F.C. 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Johor DT Buriram United F.C.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Johor DT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Johor DT found the back of the net in 96% of recent matches (28 games).

Johor DT went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Buriram United F.C. has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Johor DT VS Buriram United F.C.
5.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Johor DT

(Home)
09 Oct
Johor DT
4 : 1
Penang
08 Oct
Johor DT
6 : 0
Svay Rieng
20 Sept
Penang
2 : 7
Johor DT
15 Sept
Johor DT
1 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
11 Sept
Johor DT
3 : 0
Negeri Sembilan FA
Page 1 of 6

Buriram United F.C.

(Away)
10 Oct
Buriram United F.C.
3 : 2
Rayong FC
07 Oct
Buriram United F.C.
0 : 0
Borneo
20 Sept
Chonburi
0 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
15 Sept
Johor DT
1 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
11 Sept
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1
Chiangrai Utd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 1 1 0 0 7:1 3
2 Gamba Osaka 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Shanghai Port 1 1 0 0 6:4 3
4 Beijing Guoan 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
5 Vissel Kobe 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Jeonbuk 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 Daejeon 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Buriram United F.C. 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Johor DT 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Kashiwa Reysol 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
11 Port MTI FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Kyoto 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Ratchaburi 1 0 0 1 4:6 0
14 Pohang 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
15 Cong An Ha Noi 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
16 Newcastle Jets 1 0 0 1 1:7 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Esteghlal TEH 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Al Hilal 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Al Qadsiah 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Neftchi Fargona 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Pakhtakor 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Al Ittihad 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Al Ahli SC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Shamal 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Al Gharafa 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Al Wasl 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Tractor 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Al Sadd 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
16 Al Nassr 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)