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Johor DT vs Penang - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malaysia Malaysia

FA Cup Sultan Ibrahim Stadium, Johor Bahru
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-7. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Johor DT at 4.03 goals for, 0.73 against; Penang at 1.07 for, 1.27 against. Head-to-head, Johor DT have won 5 to Penang's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 20, 2026, ending 2:7. xG projections (3.50 - 0.75) back Johor DT to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Johor DT
20%
Draws
35%
Penang
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Johor DT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Johor DT come out ahead of Penang on wins alone.
  • Johor DT are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Johor DT have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Johor DT, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Johor DT have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Johor DT Clean Sheet 20%
Penang Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Johor DT Penang
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 4.03 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 FA Cup
Penang vs Johor DT
2:7
Feb 27, 2026 Super League
Penang vs Johor DT
0:4
Oct 28, 2025 FA Cup
Johor DT vs Penang
3:0
Oct 17, 2025 FA Cup
Penang vs Johor DT
1:2
Sep 11, 2025 Super League
Johor DT vs Penang
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Johor DT 85 / 100
Penang 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Johor DT Penang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Johor DT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Johor DT scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Johor DT remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Penang's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Johor DT VS Penang
5.25 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Johor DT

(Home)
20 Sept
Penang
2 : 7
Johor DT
15 Sept
Johor DT
1 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
11 Sept
Johor DT
3 : 0
Negeri Sembilan FA
08 Sept
Johor DT
10 : 0
Damansara
04 Sept
Johor DT
3 : 0
DPMM
Page 1 of 6

Penang

(Away)
20 Sept
Penang
2 : 7
Johor DT
12 Sept
Penang
3 : 2
Kelantan Red Warrior
09 Sept
Penang
2 : 1
Melaka FC
05 Sept
Terengganu
0 : 0
Penang
02 Sept
Melaka FC
0 : 1
Penang
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
DPMM 5
Terengganu 4
Perak 0
Kuala Lumpur City 1
Melaka FC 1
Penang 3
Damansara 1
Johor DT 14
Kedah 2
Star City 4
Sabah 3
Selangor 4
Kelantan City 4
Negeri Sembilan FA 3
Kelantan Red Warrior 1
Kuching City FC 5
Quarter-finals
DPMM 3
Kuala Lumpur City 3
Penang 2
Johor DT 7
Star City 1
Selangor 4
Kelantan City 0
Kuching City FC 0
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -