Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Johvi Phoenix vs Kuressaare U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2025 Heino Lipp Stadium, Johvi
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Vares T.
Own Goal
36' Event
Stoyanov B.
41' Event
Stoyanov B.

AI Match Summary

Johvi Phoenix in this Esiliiga B 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Johvi Phoenix.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Johvi Phoenix
15%
Draws
0%
Kuressaare U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Johvi Phoenix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Johvi Phoenix have won more games recently than Kuressaare U21.
  • Win probability leans Johvi Phoenix's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Johvi Phoenix have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Johvi Phoenix Clean Sheet 68%
Kuressaare U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Johvi Phoenix Kuressaare U21
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 24 4
Draws 4 1
Losses 11 25
Goals Scored 2.82 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.42 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2025 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Kuressaare U21
4:0
Jul 26, 2025 Esiliiga B
Kuressaare U21 vs Johvi Phoenix
2:3
Jun 22, 2025 Esiliiga B
Kuressaare U21 vs Johvi Phoenix
1:4
Apr 19, 2025 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Kuressaare U21
5:1
Oct 24, 2024 Esiliiga B
Kuressaare U21 vs Johvi Phoenix
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Johvi Phoenix Compare

Top Goalscorer Stoyanov B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Krupski A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.86
Avg xA / game 1.21

Kuressaare U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Johvi Phoenix 95 / 100
Kuressaare U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Johvi Phoenix Kuressaare U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Johvi Phoenix Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Johvi Phoenix's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Kuressaare U21 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Kuressaare U21 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Johvi Phoenix VS -
3.63 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Johvi Phoenix

(Home)
10 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
06 Sept
Levadia U19
6 : 2
Johvi Phoenix
29 Aug
Tartu Kalev
0 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
23 Aug
Tammeka Tartu U21
2 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
20 Aug
Tabasalu
2 : 2
Johvi Phoenix
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Kuressaare U21

(Away)
09 Nov
Kuressaare U21
1 : 2
Maardu Linnameeskond
02 Nov
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 0
Kuressaare U21
27 Oct
Kuressaare U21
1 : 4
Nomme Utd U21
23 Oct
Kuressaare U21
0 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond U21
19 Oct
Laanemaa Haapsalu
4 : 2
Kuressaare U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 28 5 3 116:39 89
2 Nomme Utd U21 36 23 3 10 93:53 72
3 Johvi Phoenix 36 21 5 10 95:61 68
4 Narva U21 36 21 3 12 87:53 66
5 Tartu Kalev 36 19 4 13 81:53 61
6 Tabasalu 36 13 8 15 60:67 47
7 Legion 36 13 5 18 66:94 44
8 Paide Linnameeskond U21 36 11 8 17 65:71 41
9 Kuressaare U21 36 6 1 29 40:105 19
10 Laanemaa Haapsalu 36 3 2 31 33:140 11
Promotion - Esiliiga (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2025 (Relegation)