Sport Picks
Johvi Phoenix vs Parnu JK Vaprus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Estonia
Estonian Cup Heino Lipp Stadium, Johvi 
Match Events
10'
10'
Valja H.
20'
20'
Nomm U.
44'
44'
Nomm U.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-5. The second leg ended 0-5.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Johvi Phoenix
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Johvi Phoenix come out ahead of Parnu JK Vaprus on wins alone.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on Johvi Phoenix taking it.
- Johvi Phoenix have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Parnu JK Vaprus, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Johvi Phoenix Clean Sheet 14%
Parnu JK Vaprus Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Johvi Phoenix | Parnu JK Vaprus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.56 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.15 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 12, 2026 Estonian Cup
Johvi Phoenix vs Parnu JK Vaprus
0:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Johvi Phoenix Compare
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Parnu JK Vaprus Compare
Top Goalscorer Valja H.
2 Goals Assists Leader Nomm U.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Johvi Phoenix 84 / 100
Parnu JK Vaprus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Johvi Phoenix Parnu JK Vaprus
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Johvi Phoenix Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Johvi Phoenix found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: Parnu JK Vaprus conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
Solid form: Johvi Phoenix remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Johvi Phoenix VS Parnu JK Vaprus
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Johvi Phoenix
(Home) 19 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2 Tabasalu
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3 Tallinna Kalev U21
10 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 3 Johvi Phoenix
06 Sept
Levadia U19
6 : 2 Johvi Phoenix
29 Aug
Tartu Kalev
0 : 3 Johvi Phoenix
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2 Tabasalu
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3 Tallinna Kalev U21
12 Aug
Johvi Phoenix
0 : 5 Parnu JK Vaprus
22 Jul
Johvi Phoenix
8 : 1 FC Hell Hunt
12 Jul
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 2 Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Page 1 of 3
Parnu JK Vaprus
(Away) 10 Oct
Parnu JK Vaprus
2 : 2 Narva
20 Sept
Flora
3 : 2 Parnu JK Vaprus
16 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0 Parnu JK Vaprus
12 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0 Parnu JK Vaprus
09 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
3 : 2 Harju JK Laagri
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Flora
3 : 2 Parnu JK Vaprus
16 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0 Parnu JK Vaprus
12 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0 Parnu JK Vaprus
02 Sept
Nomme Utd
3 : 2 Parnu JK Vaprus
29 Aug
Kuressaare
2 : 2 Parnu JK Vaprus
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Arsenal 0
Tallinna Kalev U21 3
Rakvere FC Freedom 3
Kena JK 2
EstHam United -
TBD -
Kose 8
Kummik 0
Rumori Calcio II -
TBD -
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani 0
Elva 4
Arukula Vigri -
TBD -
TBD -
Raasiku Joker -
Tammeka Tartu U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Tartu Kalev 4
Paide Linnameeskond III 3
TBD -
Kuusalu Kalev -
Narva 10
Vana Hea Puur 0
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
Marjamaa Kompanii -
TBD -
TBD -
Generation Tallinn -
JK Poseidon -
TBD -
Helm 30
Deliirium 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
Hiiumaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Tulevik -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Raplamaa -
Johvi Phoenix 4
Elva III 2
TBD -
FC Hell Hunt -
Lahte United 1
Tabasalu Ulasabat 3
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Kristiine -
TBD -
TBD -
Jogeva Wolves -
Kuressaare -
TBD -
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco 2 -
TransferWise -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympic Tallinn -
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
Legion -
Kohvile -
TBD -
TBD -
Rumori Calcio -
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Zealot Sporting -
Tartu Helios -
TBD -
TBD -
Soccernet -
Viimsi JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Nomme Utd U19 -
FC Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
Saue JK Laagri 6
Viimsi Lovid 0
TBD -
Harju JK Laagri U21 -
Harju JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
Rae Spordikool -
Tallinna Wolves 0
Tabasalu 10
TBD -
Tamper -
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
TalTech JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Keila JK -
Flora U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Pohja-Tallinna -
1/32-finals
Flora -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 4
Rakvere FC Freedom 2
EstHam United 1
Kose 5
Rumori Calcio II 0
Tartu JK Welco 12
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Elva 6
Arukula Vigri 0
Raasiku Joker 1
Tammeka Tartu U19 0
Tallinna Kalev 8
Tartu Kalev 7
Kuusalu Kalev 0
Narva 1
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Marjamaa Kompanii 8
Generation Tallinn 4
JK Poseidon 3
Helm 2
TBD -
Kalju -
Hiiumaa 4
Tulevik 1
Nomme Utd 12
Raplamaa 0
Johvi Phoenix 8
FC Hell Hunt 1
Tabasalu Ulasabat 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 4
Kristiine 8
Jogeva Wolves 3
Kuressaare 5
Tartu JK Welco 2 1
TransferWise 3
Olympic Tallinn 6
Saku Sporting 2
Legion 1
Kohvile 1
Rumori Calcio 4
Tammeka Tartu 19
Zealot Sporting 0
Tartu Helios -
Soccernet -
Viimsi JK 4
Nomme Utd U19 0
FC Tallinn 4
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Saue JK Laagri 1
Harju JK Laagri U21 2
Harju JK Laagri 8
Rae Spordikool 0
Tabasalu 0
Tamper 2
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
TalTech JK 0
Keila JK 6
Flora U19 6
Pohja-Tallinna 3
1/16-finals
Flora -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Kose 0
Tartu JK Welco 8
Elva -
Raasiku Joker -
Tallinna Kalev 8
Tartu Kalev 0
Narva 8
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
JK Poseidon 0
Kalju 12
Hiiumaa 0
Nomme Utd 2
Johvi Phoenix 0
Parnu JK Vaprus 5
Kristiine 0
Kuressaare 8
Olympic Tallinn 0
Saku Sporting 7
Rumori Calcio 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Tartu Helios 1
Viimsi JK 4
FC Tallinn 5
Harju JK Laagri U21 0
Harju JK Laagri 3
Tamper 1
Levadia 4
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Keila JK 3
Flora U19 2
1/8-finals
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
Elva 3
Tallinna Kalev 2
Narva 2
Kalju 0
Nomme Utd 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 2
Kuressaare 4
Saku Sporting 2
Tammeka Tartu 4
Viimsi JK 1
FC Tallinn 0
Harju JK Laagri 10
Levadia 10
Keila JK 0
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
