Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Joinville U20 vs Barra FC U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Joinville U20 play Barra FC U20 in the Catarinense U20 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Joinville U20 averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. Barra FC U20 averaged 1.89 goals scored and 1.04 conceded. In past meetings, Joinville U20 won 0, Barra FC U20 won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 27, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Joinville U20 and 2.13 for Barra FC U20. This points to a Barra FC U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Joinville U20
16%
Draws
55%
Barra FC U20
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Barra FC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Joinville U20 picked up more points recently compared to Barra FC U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 2.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Joinville U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Barra FC U20 Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Joinville U20 Barra FC U20
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 15
Draws 4 8
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.21 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Barra FC U20
0:2
Aug 2, 2025 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Barra FC U20
1:2
May 28, 2025 Catarinense U20
Barra FC U20 vs Joinville U20
2:1
Jul 13, 2024 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Barra FC U20
0:1
May 11, 2024 Catarinense U20
Barra FC U20 vs Joinville U20
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Joinville U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Marezi D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Barra FC U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Moises Firmino Anastacio F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Costa G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Joinville U20 28 / 100
Barra FC U20 54 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Joinville U20 Barra FC U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barra FC U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Barra FC U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Joinville U20 attacking → ← attacking Barra FC U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Joinville U20 scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Barra FC U20 let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Joinville U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Barra FC U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 53
0.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Chapecoense-SC U2018124241:1540
2Barra FC U2018116138:1539
3Criciuma U2018115228:938
4Figueirense U201893638:3130
5Joinville U201891831:2928
6Avai U201866632:2724
7Marcilio Dias U2018351020:3614
8Concordia U201827919:3613
9Nacao U2018331214:4012
10Brusque U2018241217:4010