Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Joinville U20 vs Criciuma U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Lopes P.
45' Event
Kaua Lira
50' Event
Capella

AI Match Summary

Criciuma U20 in this Catarinense U20 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Criciuma U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Joinville U20
20%
Draws
52%
Criciuma U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Criciuma U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Criciuma U20 have won more games recently than Joinville U20.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Criciuma U20 taking it.
  • Regular Catarinense U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Criciuma U20 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Joinville U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Criciuma U20 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Joinville U20 Criciuma U20
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 8 20
Draws 4 9
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.2 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.09
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Criciuma U20
1:3
Jun 5, 2026 Catarinense U20
Criciuma U20 vs Joinville U20
3:0
Jul 16, 2025 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Criciuma U20
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 Catarinense U20
Criciuma U20 vs Joinville U20
5:0
Jun 15, 2024 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Criciuma U20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Joinville U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Joel E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Criciuma U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopes P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaua Lira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.9
Avg xA / game 1.16

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Joinville U20 10 / 100
Criciuma U20 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Joinville U20 Criciuma U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Criciuma U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Joinville U20 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Criciuma U20 has conceded goals in 66% of their last 38 outings.

Joinville U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Joinville U20 VS Criciuma U20
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2.43 Goals Conceded 0.75
71% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Joinville U20

(Home)
31 Jul
Joinville U20
2 : 3
Carlos Renaux U20
27 Jul
Barra FC U20
7 : 1
Joinville U20
22 Jul
Joinville U20
1 : 3
Criciuma U20
19 Jul
Joinville U20
2 : 1
Avai U20
11 Jul
Brusque U20
0 : 1
Joinville U20
Page 1 of 6

Criciuma U20

(Away)
09 Sept
Criciuma U20
3 : 1
FC Cascavel U20
29 Aug
Criciuma U20
2 : 1
Barra FC U20
22 Aug
Barra FC U20
2 : 2
Criciuma U20
16 Aug
Criciuma U20
2 : 1
Chapecoense-SC U20
08 Aug
Chapecoense-SC U20
2 : 2
Criciuma U20
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Criciuma U20 18 12 5 1 34:10 41
2 Barra FC U20 18 12 3 3 52:21 39
3 Avai U20 18 11 6 1 45:15 39
4 Chapecoense-SC U20 18 10 3 5 37:26 33
5 Carlos Renaux U20 18 7 3 8 21:32 24
6 Figueirense U20 18 6 5 7 25:24 23
7 Nacao U20 18 5 4 9 32:36 19
8 Concordia U20 18 5 3 10 15:35 18
9 Joinville U20 18 3 3 12 17:41 12
10 Brusque U20 18 1 1 16 14:52 4
Promotion - Catarinense U20 (Play Offs)