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Joinville U20 vs Nacao U20

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Catarinense U20
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Match Events

16' Event

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense U20 game between Joinville U20 and Nacao U20 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nacao U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Joinville U20
40%
Draws
29%
Nacao U20
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Nacao U20 haven't matched Joinville U20's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Catarinense U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Joinville U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Nacao U20 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Joinville U20 Nacao U20
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2026 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Nacao U20
0:1
Apr 19, 2026 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Joinville U20
4:4
Jun 25, 2025 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Joinville U20
1:4
Apr 18, 2025 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Nacao U20
2:1
Jul 18, 2024 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Joinville U20
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Joinville U20 31 / 100
Nacao U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Joinville U20 Nacao U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Joinville U20's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Nacao U20 conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Joinville U20 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Joinville U20 VS Nacao U20
0.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avai U201486032:1030
2Barra FC U201493234:1730
3Criciuma U201485122:729
4Chapecoense-SC U201482430:2126
5Figueirense U201555521:2020
6Nacao U201553728:2518
7Concordia U201553714:2218
8Carlos Renaux U201443714:2715
9Joinville U201423911:279
10Brusque U2015111314:444