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Joinville U20 vs Nacao U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 Logo

Joinville U20

0 - 1
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Nacao U20 Logo

Nacao U20

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Match Events

16' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense U20 game between Joinville U20 and Nacao U20 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nacao U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Joinville U20
15%
Draws
34%
Nacao U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Joinville U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Nacao U20 haven't matched Joinville U20's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Catarinense U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Joinville U20 Clean Sheet 17%
Nacao U20 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Joinville U20 Nacao U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 4 7
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.2 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2026 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Nacao U20
0:1
Apr 19, 2026 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Joinville U20
4:4
Jun 25, 2025 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Joinville U20
1:4
Apr 18, 2025 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Nacao U20
2:1
Jul 18, 2024 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Joinville U20
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Joinville U20 30 / 100
Nacao U20 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Joinville U20 Nacao U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Joinville U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nacao U20 conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Joinville U20 found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Nacao U20 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Joinville U20 VS Nacao U20
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Joinville U20

(Home)
31 Jul
Joinville U20
2 : 3
Carlos Renaux U20
27 Jul
Barra FC U20
7 : 1
Joinville U20
22 Jul
Joinville U20
1 : 3
Criciuma U20
19 Jul
Joinville U20
2 : 1
Avai U20
11 Jul
Brusque U20
0 : 1
Joinville U20
Page 1 of 6

Nacao U20

(Away)
01 Aug
Nacao U20
1 : 7
Barra FC U20
26 Jul
Chapecoense-SC U20
2 : 2
Nacao U20
22 Jul
Nacao U20
1 : 2
Avai U20
17 Jul
Figueirense U20
2 : 0
Nacao U20
11 Jul
Nacao U20
2 : 1
Concordia U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Criciuma U20 18 12 5 1 34:10 41
2 Barra FC U20 18 12 3 3 52:21 39
3 Avai U20 18 11 6 1 45:15 39
4 Chapecoense-SC U20 18 10 3 5 37:26 33
5 Carlos Renaux U20 18 7 3 8 21:32 24
6 Figueirense U20 18 6 5 7 25:24 23
7 Nacao U20 18 5 4 9 32:36 19
8 Concordia U20 18 5 3 10 15:35 18
9 Joinville U20 18 3 3 12 17:41 12
10 Brusque U20 18 1 1 16 14:52 4
Promotion - Catarinense U20 (Play Offs)