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Joinville vs Avai B

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2019
Joinville Logo

Joinville

1 - 2
FT
Avai B Logo

Avai B

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Avai B advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Joinville
15%
Draws
34%
Avai B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Joinville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Joinville carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Joinville a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Joinville have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Avai B, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Joinville Clean Sheet 20%
Avai B Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Joinville Avai B
Matches Played 31 16
Wins 8 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 1.03 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Avai B vs Joinville
4:2
Sep 28, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Joinville vs Avai B
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Joinville 67 / 100
Avai B 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Joinville Avai B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Joinville Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avai B has conceded goals in 88% of their last 16 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Joinville's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Away concern: Avai B has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Joinville VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Joinville

(Home)
19 Sept
Nacao
0 : 4
Joinville
12 Sept
Joinville
1 : 3
Hercilio Luz
05 Sept
Joinville
1 : 0
Blumenau
30 Aug
Marcilio Dias
4 : 2
Joinville
07 Jun
Sao Luiz
3 : 1
Joinville
Page 1 of 7

Avai B

(Away)
10 Nov
Marcilio Dias
4 : 1
Avai B
05 Nov
Avai B
1 : 0
Marcilio Dias
31 Oct
Avai B
1 : 1
Almirante Barroso
27 Oct
Marcilio Dias
1 : 0
Avai B
23 Oct
Avai B
0 : 2
Tubarao
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marcilio Dias 14 10 2 2 22:10 32
2 Brusque 14 7 4 3 26:17 25
3 Tubarao 14 6 6 2 20:13 24
4 Avai B 14 6 3 5 22:22 21
5 Fluminense-SC 14 4 5 5 25:24 17
6 Joinville 14 4 3 7 17:21 15
7 Figueirense B 14 2 4 8 14:24 10
8 Almirante Barroso 14 1 5 8 9:24 8
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2019 (Play Offs)