Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Jonava host BFA Vilnius in the I Lyga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. BFA Vilnius have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Jonava have conceded 1.41 and scored 0.9. Past meetings favor BFA Vilnius slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.00 - 1.56) back BFA Vilnius to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Jonava haven't matched BFA Vilnius's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans BFA Vilnius's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors BFA Vilnius here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jonava | BFA Vilnius |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: BFA Vilnius conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Jonava found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).
Jonava has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Jonava
(Home)BFA Vilnius
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minija | 23 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 61:12 | 61 |
| 2 | FK Babrungas | 24 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 42:11 | 58 |
| 3 | BE1 NFA | 23 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 41:24 | 47 |
| 4 | Neptunas | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 32:28 | 44 |
| 5 | Zalgiris 2 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 38:31 | 43 |
| 6 | BFA Vilnius | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 38:34 | 42 |
| 7 | Tauras Taurage | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 40:29 | 40 |
| 8 | Dainava Alytus | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 33:23 | 37 |
| 9 | FK Atmosfera | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 36:32 | 29 |
| 10 | Jonava | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 26:30 | 27 |
| 11 | Hegelmann Litauen 2 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 30:55 | 22 |
| 12 | Garliava | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 25:27 | 22 |
| 13 | Transinvest 2 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 28:56 | 21 |
| 14 | FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 20:36 | 19 |
| 15 | Ekranas | 24 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 23:52 | 14 |
| 16 | Siauliai 2 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 21:54 | 14 |
