Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jonava vs Dainava Alytus

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

90'
Zabita G.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga game between Jonava and Dainava Alytus finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Jonava
30%
Draws
23%
Dainava Alytus
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jonava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dainava Alytus come out ahead of Jonava on wins alone.
  • Model gives Jonava a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Jonava Clean Sheet 20%
Dainava Alytus Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jonava Dainava Alytus
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0.9 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 I Lyga
Jonava vs Dainava Alytus
0:0
May 2, 2026 I Lyga
Dainava Alytus vs Jonava
3:0
Sep 19, 2020 I Lyga
Jonava vs Dainava Alytus
1:0
Jul 3, 2020 I Lyga
Dainava Alytus vs Jonava
0:1
Sep 28, 2019 I Lyga
Jonava vs Dainava Alytus
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jonava 42 / 100
Dainava Alytus 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jonava Dainava Alytus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Dainava Alytus has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Jonava's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Dainava Alytus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jonava VS Dainava Alytus
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jonava

(Home)
11 Sept
Neptunas
2 : 0
Jonava
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0
Dainava Alytus
29 Aug
Transinvest 2
1 : 2
Jonava
21 Aug
Jonava
0 : 1
Siauliai 2
14 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2 : 1
Jonava
Page 1 of 6

Dainava Alytus

(Away)
12 Sept
Dainava Alytus
0 : 3
FK Minija
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0
Dainava Alytus
01 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 2
Dainava Alytus
28 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 1
Zalgiris 2
22 Aug
Dainava Alytus
1 : 1
FK Atmosfera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 23 20 1 2 61:12 61
2 FK Babrungas 24 18 4 2 42:11 58
3 BE1 NFA 23 15 2 6 41:24 47
4 Neptunas 24 14 2 8 32:28 44
5 Zalgiris 2 24 13 4 7 38:31 43
6 BFA Vilnius 24 13 3 8 38:34 42
7 Tauras Taurage 24 12 4 8 40:29 40
8 Dainava Alytus 23 10 7 6 33:23 37
9 FK Atmosfera 23 8 5 10 36:32 29
10 Jonava 24 7 6 11 26:30 27
11 Hegelmann Litauen 2 24 7 1 16 30:55 22
12 Garliava 23 6 4 13 25:27 22
13 Transinvest 2 24 6 3 15 28:56 21
14 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 23 6 1 16 20:36 19
15 Ekranas 24 4 2 18 23:52 14
16 Siauliai 2 24 3 5 16 21:54 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)