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Jonava vs FA Siauliai Prediction & H2H Stats

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup Jonavos centrinis stadionas, Jonava
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Batalha R.
(Penalty)
44' Event
Romanovskij D.
45' Event
Garbaliauskas N.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-4. The second leg ended 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Jonava
20%
Draws
16%
FA Siauliai
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jonava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Jonava carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Jonava are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Jonava have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FA Siauliai, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FA Siauliai have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Jonava Clean Sheet 20%
FA Siauliai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jonava FA Siauliai
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Lithuanian Cup
Jonava vs FA Siauliai
0:4
Oct 15, 2022 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs Jonava
2:0
Jul 23, 2022 TOPLYGA
Jonava vs FA Siauliai
1:3
May 3, 2022 TOPLYGA
Jonava vs FA Siauliai
0:3
Mar 16, 2022 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs Jonava
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jonava Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

FA Siauliai Compare

Top Goalscorer Romanovskij D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garbaliauskas N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jonava 67 / 100
FA Siauliai 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jonava FA Siauliai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jonava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FA Siauliai let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

FA Siauliai lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Jonava scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Jonava VS FA Siauliai
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jonava

(Home)
18 Sept
Jonava
2 : 3
Tauras Taurage
11 Sept
Neptunas
2 : 0
Jonava
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0
Dainava Alytus
29 Aug
Transinvest 2
1 : 2
Jonava
21 Aug
Jonava
0 : 1
Siauliai 2
Page 1 of 6

FA Siauliai

(Away)
20 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 0
FC Hegelmann
06 Sept
Zalgiris
1 : 0
FA Siauliai
03 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
30 Aug
FA Siauliai
1 : 2
Suduva
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Pempininkai 2
Sirijus 1
FK Minija 3
Suduva 2
FK Atmosfera 2
Zalgiris 1
SSPC FSK Radviliskis 0
FK Panevezys 2
Klaipedos FM 1
BE1 NFA 0
Viltis Vilnius 1
Dainava Alytus 7
Kursenai 1
Transinvest 10
Tauras Taurage 1
FC Hegelmann 4
Ataka Vilnius 4
FK Sirvena Birzai 0
Jonava 0
FA Siauliai 4
Neptunas 0
Dziugas Telsiai 2
Vilniaus Vytis 0
Banga 4
BFA Vilnius 1
FK Babrungas 0
AFK Vilnius 0
Garliava 3
Vilnius FA 0
Riteriai 1
FK Sveikata Kybartai 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 3
1/8-finals
Pempininkai 1
FK Minija 4
FK Atmosfera 0
FK Panevezys 3
Klaipedos FM 0
Dainava Alytus 2
Transinvest 2
FC Hegelmann 0
Ataka Vilnius 1
FA Siauliai 2
Dziugas Telsiai 1
Banga 0
BFA Vilnius 2
Garliava 1
Riteriai 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Quarter-finals
FK Minija 2
FK Panevezys 1
Dainava Alytus 2
Transinvest 1
FA Siauliai 2
Dziugas Telsiai 1
BFA Vilnius 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 3
Semi-finals
FK Minija 3
Dainava Alytus 2
FA Siauliai 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
Final
FK Minija -
FK Kauno Zalgiris -