Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jonava vs FA Siauliai

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup Jonavos centrinis stadionas, Jonava
Jonava Logo

Jonava

0 - 4
FT
FA Siauliai Logo

FA Siauliai

Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Batalha R.
(Penalty)
44' Event
Romanovskij D.
45' Event
Garbaliauskas N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-4. The second leg ended 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Jonava
15%
Draws
0%
FA Siauliai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jonava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Jonava carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Jonava are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Jonava have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FA Siauliai, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FA Siauliai have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Jonava Clean Sheet 20%
FA Siauliai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jonava FA Siauliai
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Lithuanian Cup
Jonava vs FA Siauliai
0:4
Oct 15, 2022 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs Jonava
2:0
Jul 23, 2022 TOPLYGA
Jonava vs FA Siauliai
1:3
May 3, 2022 TOPLYGA
Jonava vs FA Siauliai
0:3
Mar 16, 2022 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs Jonava
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jonava Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

FA Siauliai Compare

Top Goalscorer Romanovskij D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garbaliauskas N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jonava 85 / 100
FA Siauliai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jonava FA Siauliai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

FA Siauliai lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Jonava scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

FA Siauliai let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jonava VS FA Siauliai
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jonava

(Home)
07 Aug
Jonava
1 : 2
Ekranas
31 Jul
BE1 NFA
0 : 2
Jonava
25 Jul
Jonava
1 : 0
Garliava
18 Jul
FK Minija
2 : 1
Jonava
27 Jun
Hegelmann Litauen 2
2 : 1
Jonava
Page 1 of 7

FA Siauliai

(Away)
09 Aug
FA Siauliai
3 : 4
Dziugas Telsiai
03 Aug
FA Siauliai
1 : 3
Banga
24 Jul
FA Siauliai
0 : 2
FC Hegelmann
18 Jul
FK Kauno Zalgiris
4 : 0
FA Siauliai
05 Jul
FA Siauliai
0 : 3
Zalgiris
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Pempininkai 2
Sirijus 1
FK Minija 3
Suduva 2
FK Atmosfera 2
Zalgiris 1
SSPC FSK Radviliskis 0
FK Panevezys 2
Klaipedos FM 1
BE1 NFA 0
Viltis Vilnius 1
Dainava Alytus 7
Kursenai 1
Transinvest 10
Tauras Taurage 1
FC Hegelmann 4
Ataka Vilnius 4
FK Sirvena Birzai 0
Jonava 0
FA Siauliai 4
Neptunas 0
Dziugas Telsiai 2
Vilniaus Vytis 0
Banga 4
BFA Vilnius 1
FK Babrungas 0
AFK Vilnius 0
Garliava 3
Vilnius FA 0
Riteriai 1
FK Sveikata Kybartai 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 3
1/8-finals
Pempininkai 1
FK Minija 4
FK Atmosfera 0
FK Panevezys 3
Klaipedos FM 0
Dainava Alytus 2
Transinvest 2
FC Hegelmann 0
Ataka Vilnius 1
FA Siauliai 2
Dziugas Telsiai 1
Banga 0
BFA Vilnius 2
Garliava 1
Riteriai 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Quarter-finals
FK Minija 2
FK Panevezys 1
Dainava Alytus 2
Transinvest 1
FA Siauliai 2
Dziugas Telsiai 1
BFA Vilnius 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 3
Semi-finals
FK Minija -
Dainava Alytus -
FA Siauliai -
FK Kauno Zalgiris -
Final
TBD -
TBD -