Sport Picks
Match Events
24'
24'
Borja P.
80'
80'
Houat Y.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Babrungas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- FK Babrungas have won more games recently than Jonava.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on FK Babrungas taking it.
- Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Jonava Clean Sheet 18%
FK Babrungas Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jonava | FK Babrungas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 21 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 0.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 22, 2026 I Lyga
Jonava vs FK Babrungas
1:1
Aug 17, 2025 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs Jonava
1:2
Apr 18, 2025 I Lyga
Jonava vs FK Babrungas
1:2
Oct 13, 2023 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs Jonava
2:1
May 27, 2023 I Lyga
Jonava vs FK Babrungas
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jonava Compare
Top Goalscorer Houat Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
FK Babrungas Compare
Top Goalscorer Borja P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jonava 28 / 100
FK Babrungas 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jonava FK Babrungas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FK Babrungas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Jonava scored in 55% of their last 29 games.
FK Babrungas has conceded goals in 41% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: Jonava stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Jonava VS FK Babrungas
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Jonava
(Home) 18 Sept
Jonava
2 : 3 Tauras Taurage
11 Sept
Neptunas
2 : 0 Jonava
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0 Dainava Alytus
29 Aug
Transinvest 2
1 : 2 Jonava
21 Aug
Jonava
0 : 1 Siauliai 2
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Jonava
2 : 3 Tauras Taurage
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0 Dainava Alytus
21 Aug
Jonava
0 : 1 Siauliai 2
07 Aug
Jonava
1 : 2 Ekranas
25 Jul
Jonava
1 : 0 Garliava
Page 1 of 3
FK Babrungas
(Away) 20 Sept
Zalgiris 2
0 : 1 FK Babrungas
11 Sept
FK Babrungas
3 : 2 FK Atmosfera
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1 FK Babrungas
29 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1 FK Babrungas
21 Aug
FK Babrungas
1 : 1 Tauras Taurage
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Zalgiris 2
0 : 1 FK Babrungas
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1 FK Babrungas
29 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1 FK Babrungas
15 Aug
Neptunas
0 : 4 FK Babrungas
08 Aug
Dainava Alytus
2 : 1 FK Babrungas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minija | 25 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 68:13 | 67 |
| 2 | FK Babrungas | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 43:11 | 61 |
| 3 | BE1 NFA | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 44:24 | 50 |
| 4 | Neptunas | 25 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 33:30 | 44 |
| 5 | BFA Vilnius | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 39:35 | 43 |
| 6 | Zalgiris 2 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 38:32 | 43 |
| 7 | Tauras Taurage | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 43:31 | 43 |
| 8 | Dainava Alytus | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35:25 | 40 |
| 9 | FK Atmosfera | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 37:33 | 30 |
| 10 | Garliava | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 31:28 | 28 |
| 11 | Jonava | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 28:33 | 27 |
| 12 | FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 17 | 23:43 | 22 |
| 13 | Transinvest 2 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 29:58 | 21 |
| 14 | Hegelmann Litauen 2 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 26:59 | 19 |
| 15 | Siauliai 2 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 27:56 | 17 |
| 16 | Ekranas | 25 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 25:58 | 14 |
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)
