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Jonava vs Hegelmann Litauen 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jonava host Hegelmann Litauen 2 in the I Lyga. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Jonava have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.45 conceded recently, against Hegelmann Litauen 2's 1.07 scored and 2.31 conceded. Head-to-head, Jonava have won 1 to Hegelmann Litauen 2's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 27, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.63 - 1.56) back Jonava to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Jonava
15%
Draws
49%
Hegelmann Litauen 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hegelmann Litauen 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Hegelmann Litauen 2 haven't matched Jonava's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Jonava a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Jonava Clean Sheet 15%
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jonava Hegelmann Litauen 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 6 3
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.07 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Jonava
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Jonava
1:2
Apr 26, 2025 I Lyga
Jonava vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jonava 39 / 100
Hegelmann Litauen 2 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jonava Hegelmann Litauen 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jonava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hegelmann Litauen 2 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Difficult form: Hegelmann Litauen 2 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Jonava scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jonava VS Hegelmann Litauen 2
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jonava

(Home)
24 Oct
FK Atmosfera
3 : 0
Jonava
16 Oct
Jonava
3 : 0
BFA Vilnius
10 Oct
FK Babrungas
2 : 0
Jonava
18 Sept
Jonava
2 : 3
Tauras Taurage
11 Sept
Neptunas
2 : 0
Jonava
Page 1 of 6

Hegelmann Litauen 2

(Away)
25 Oct
FK Babrungas
4 : 0
Hegelmann Litauen 2
16 Oct
Hegelmann Litauen 2
4 : 4
Tauras Taurage
10 Oct
Neptunas
0 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
18 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 1
Dainava Alytus
11 Sept
Transinvest 2
4 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Babrungas 28 22 4 2 52:13 70
2 FK Minija 27 22 1 4 71:18 67
3 BE1 NFA 27 18 3 6 50:27 57
4 Zalgiris 2 28 15 4 9 44:36 49
5 BFA Vilnius 28 14 4 10 42:41 46
6 Neptunas 28 14 2 12 33:35 44
7 Dainava Alytus 28 12 8 8 40:29 44
8 Tauras Taurage 27 13 5 9 48:37 44
9 FK Atmosfera 27 10 7 10 43:35 37
10 Garliava 28 9 5 14 34:32 32
11 Jonava 28 8 6 14 31:38 30
12 Transinvest 2 28 8 4 16 35:61 28
13 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 28 9 1 18 27:45 28
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 28 7 2 19 31:67 23
15 Ekranas 28 5 3 20 29:62 18
16 Siauliai 2 28 4 5 19 31:65 17
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)