Sport Picks
Match Events
24'
24'
Houat Y.
38'
38'
Pikciunas M.
57'
57'
Rodriguez S.
AI Match Summary
Tauras Taurage in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tauras Taurage.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tauras Taurage
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Tauras Taurage lately — more wins on the board than Jonava.
- Win probability leans Jonava's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Tauras Taurage have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Jonava Clean Sheet 16%
Tauras Taurage Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jonava | Tauras Taurage |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 7 | 18 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2026 I Lyga
Jonava vs Tauras Taurage
2:3
May 16, 2026 I Lyga
Tauras Taurage vs Jonava
2:0
Feb 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Jonava vs Tauras Taurage
0:3
Sep 20, 2025 I Lyga
Jonava vs Tauras Taurage
1:0
May 17, 2025 I Lyga
Tauras Taurage vs Jonava
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jonava Compare
Top Goalscorer Houat Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Tauras Taurage Compare
Top Goalscorer Pikciunas M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Rodriguez S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jonava 36 / 100
Tauras Taurage 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jonava Tauras Taurage
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tauras Taurage's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Jonava found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).
Jonava went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Jonava VS Tauras Taurage
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Jonava
(Home) 11 Sept
Neptunas
2 : 0 Jonava
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0 Dainava Alytus
29 Aug
Transinvest 2
1 : 2 Jonava
21 Aug
Jonava
0 : 1 Siauliai 2
14 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2 : 1 Jonava
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0 Dainava Alytus
21 Aug
Jonava
0 : 1 Siauliai 2
07 Aug
Jonava
1 : 2 Ekranas
25 Jul
Jonava
1 : 0 Garliava
12 Jun
Jonava
1 : 1 FK Atmosfera
Page 1 of 3
Tauras Taurage
(Away) 12 Sept
Tauras Taurage
0 : 1 Zalgiris 2
05 Sept
FK Atmosfera
3 : 1 Tauras Taurage
28 Aug
Tauras Taurage
2 : 2 BFA Vilnius
21 Aug
FK Babrungas
1 : 1 Tauras Taurage
15 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1 Tauras Taurage
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
FK Atmosfera
3 : 1 Tauras Taurage
21 Aug
FK Babrungas
1 : 1 Tauras Taurage
15 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1 Tauras Taurage
02 Aug
Dainava Alytus
1 : 1 Tauras Taurage
01 Jul
Siauliai 2
1 : 3 Tauras Taurage
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minija | 23 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 61:12 | 61 |
| 2 | FK Babrungas | 24 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 42:11 | 58 |
| 3 | BE1 NFA | 23 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 41:24 | 47 |
| 4 | Neptunas | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 32:28 | 44 |
| 5 | Zalgiris 2 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 38:31 | 43 |
| 6 | BFA Vilnius | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 38:34 | 42 |
| 7 | Tauras Taurage | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 40:29 | 40 |
| 8 | Dainava Alytus | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 33:23 | 37 |
| 9 | FK Atmosfera | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 36:32 | 29 |
| 10 | Jonava | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 26:30 | 27 |
| 11 | Hegelmann Litauen 2 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 30:55 | 22 |
| 12 | Garliava | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 25:27 | 22 |
| 13 | Transinvest 2 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 28:56 | 21 |
| 14 | FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 20:36 | 19 |
| 15 | Ekranas | 24 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 23:52 | 14 |
| 16 | Siauliai 2 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 21:54 | 14 |
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)
