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Jonava vs Zalgiris 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
1 - 0
11:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event

AI Match Summary

Jonava host Zalgiris 2 in the I Lyga. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Jonava at 1.11 goals for, 1.43 against; Zalgiris 2 at 1.57 for, 1.29 against. Past meetings favor Jonava slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.00 - 1.69) back Zalgiris 2 to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Jonava
15%
Draws
64%
Zalgiris 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zalgiris 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Zalgiris 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Jonava Clean Sheet 13%
Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jonava Zalgiris 2
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.11 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Jonava
1:2
Oct 31, 2025 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Jonava
0:0
Jun 21, 2025 I Lyga
Jonava vs Zalgiris 2
1:1
Oct 31, 2023 I Lyga
Jonava vs Zalgiris 2
0:4
May 1, 2023 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Jonava
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jonava 31 / 100
Zalgiris 2 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jonava Zalgiris 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalgiris 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jonava found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Zalgiris 2 has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Jonava has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jonava VS Zalgiris 2
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jonava

(Home)
24 Oct
FK Atmosfera
3 : 0
Jonava
16 Oct
Jonava
3 : 0
BFA Vilnius
10 Oct
FK Babrungas
2 : 0
Jonava
18 Sept
Jonava
2 : 3
Tauras Taurage
11 Sept
Neptunas
2 : 0
Jonava
Page 1 of 6

Zalgiris 2

(Away)
23 Oct
Garliava
0 : 2
Zalgiris 2
17 Oct
Zalgiris 2
2 : 3
FK Atmosfera
09 Oct
BFA Vilnius
1 : 2
Zalgiris 2
20 Sept
Zalgiris 2
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
12 Sept
Tauras Taurage
0 : 1
Zalgiris 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Babrungas 29 22 5 2 53:14 71
2 FK Minija 27 22 1 4 71:18 67
3 BE1 NFA 28 18 4 6 51:28 58
4 Zalgiris 2 28 15 4 9 44:36 49
5 Tauras Taurage 28 14 5 9 50:38 47
6 BFA Vilnius 28 14 4 10 42:41 46
7 Dainava Alytus 28 12 8 8 40:29 44
8 Neptunas 29 14 2 13 33:37 44
9 FK Atmosfera 27 10 7 10 43:35 37
10 Garliava 28 9 5 14 34:32 32
11 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 29 10 1 18 29:45 31
12 Jonava 28 8 6 14 31:38 30
13 Transinvest 2 28 8 4 16 35:61 28
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 28 7 2 19 31:67 23
15 Ekranas 29 5 3 21 30:64 18
16 Siauliai 2 28 4 5 19 31:65 17
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)