Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
de Vries J.
Assist: Karlsson Grach S.
14'
14'
Ouazane A.
Assist: Abdalla M.
15'
15'
Vink S.
Assist: Ouazane A.
AI Match Summary
The Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 game between Jong Ajax and Den Bosch finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong Ajax.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jong Ajax
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Jong Ajax come out ahead of Den Bosch on wins alone.
- Model gives Jong Ajax a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Den Bosch have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Jong Ajax Clean Sheet 10%
Den Bosch Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jong Ajax | Den Bosch |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.96 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 13, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax vs Den Bosch
3:2
Aug 8, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Jong Ajax
2:0
Mar 16, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Jong Ajax
3:1
Aug 30, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax vs Den Bosch
1:2
Apr 8, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax vs Den Bosch
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jong Ajax Compare
Top Goalscorer Ouazane A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vink S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Den Bosch Compare
Top Goalscorer de Vries J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Boumassaoudi I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jong Ajax 56 / 100
Den Bosch 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jong Ajax Den Bosch
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jong Ajax Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Den Bosch's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Jong Ajax's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Jong Ajax went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Jong Ajax VS Den Bosch
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Jong Ajax
(Home) 04 Sept
Almere City
0 : 1 Jong Ajax
31 Aug
Jong PSV
1 : 1 Jong Ajax
28 Aug
Jong Ajax
3 : 2 Helmond Sport
22 Aug
NAC Breda
3 : 2 Jong Ajax
17 Aug
Jong Ajax
4 : 6 FC Emmen
Page 1 of 6
28 Aug
Jong Ajax
3 : 2 Helmond Sport
17 Aug
Jong Ajax
4 : 6 FC Emmen
24 Apr
Jong Ajax
0 : 2 Jong Utrecht
13 Apr
Jong Ajax
1 : 2 TOP Oss
20 Mar
Jong Ajax
0 : 2 Almere City
Page 1 of 3
Den Bosch
(Away) 07 Sept
Jong PSV
3 : 1 Den Bosch
28 Aug
Den Bosch
1 : 4 Vitesse
21 Aug
Den Bosch
5 : 2 Eindhoven FC
14 Aug
Heracles
3 : 2 Den Bosch
08 Aug
Den Bosch
1 : 1 Almere City
Page 1 of 6
07 Sept
Jong PSV
3 : 1 Den Bosch
14 Aug
Heracles
3 : 2 Den Bosch
18 Jul
Eindhoven FC
0 : 0 Den Bosch
02 May
Almere City
3 : 0 Den Bosch
17 Apr
TOP Oss
4 : 2 Den Bosch
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 44 |
| 16 | TOP Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond Sport | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | 35 |
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
