Sport Picks
Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 Sportcomplex De Toekomst 
AI Match Summary
Jong Ajax play Helmond Sport in the Eerste Divisie 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jong Ajax averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. Helmond Sport averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Jong Ajax won 2, Helmond Sport won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 27, 2026 ended 5:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Jong Ajax and 1.44 for Helmond Sport. This points to a Jong Ajax double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Jong Ajax has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Helmond Sport.
- Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Helmond Sport.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jong Ajax | Helmond Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.25 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.25 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jong Ajax Compare
Helmond Sport Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jong Ajax scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Helmond Sport let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Jong Ajax went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Helmond Sport lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 44 |
| 16 | TOP Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond Sport | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | 35 |