Sport Picks
Jong Ajax vs Jong AZ Alkmaar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie Sportcomplex De Toekomst, Ouder-Amstel 
AI Match Summary
Jong Ajax host Jong AZ Alkmaar in the Eerste Divisie. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Jong Ajax at 1.37 goals for, 2.03 against; Jong AZ Alkmaar at 2.29 for, 1.89 against. Head-to-head, Jong Ajax have won 2 to Jong AZ Alkmaar's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 17, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 2.50) point toward Jong AZ Alkmaar. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Jong AZ Alkmaar come out ahead of Jong Ajax on wins alone.
- 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jong Ajax | Jong AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 2.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 1.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jong AZ Alkmaar has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Jong Ajax found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
Solid form: Jong Ajax remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Jong Ajax
(Home)Jong AZ Alkmaar
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 44:15 | 35 |
| 2 | Venlo | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 37:22 | 29 |
| 3 | Almere City | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 30:14 | 28 |
| 4 | FC Emmen | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26:24 | 25 |
| 5 | NAC Breda | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 6 | Roda | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 18:17 | 25 |
| 7 | FC Volendam | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 33:24 | 22 |
| 8 | Den Bosch | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:22 | 19 |
| 9 | Vitesse | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Maastricht | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17:29 | 17 |
| 11 | Waalwijk | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 23:20 | 17 |
| 12 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 33:31 | 17 |
| 13 | Jong PSV | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:22 | 17 |
| 14 | Jong Ajax | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22:30 | 16 |
| 15 | De Graafschap | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17:27 | 15 |
| 16 | TOP Oss | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 20:23 | 14 |
| 17 | Helmond Sport | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 25:31 | 12 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18:34 | 12 |
| 19 | Jong Utrecht | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 23:34 | 11 |
| 20 | Eindhoven FC | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 18:31 | 11 |
