Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong Ajax vs Roda

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Sportcomplex De Toekomst, Ouder-Amstel
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Zahouani F.
13'
Verkuijl M.
17'
Van den Buijs D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Jong Ajax
30%
Draws
43%
Roda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Roda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Roda have won more games recently than Jong Ajax.
  • Model gives Roda a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Jong Ajax Clean Sheet 12%
Roda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Ajax Roda
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 3 10
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.34 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax vs Roda
0:0
Jan 19, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax vs Roda
2:2
Sep 12, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Jong Ajax
3:3
Dec 23, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax vs Roda
3:1
Oct 25, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Jong Ajax
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Ajax 14 / 100
Roda 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Ajax Roda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Roda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Jong Ajax scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Jong Ajax has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jong Ajax VS Roda
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Ajax

(Home)
14 Sept
Jong Utrecht
6 : 1
Jong Ajax
11 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 2
Waalwijk
04 Sept
Almere City
0 : 1
Jong Ajax
31 Aug
Jong PSV
1 : 1
Jong Ajax
28 Aug
Jong Ajax
3 : 2
Helmond Sport
Page 1 of 6

Roda

(Away)
12 Sept
Roda
1 : 0
Vitesse
06 Sept
Maastricht
1 : 1
Roda
28 Aug
Roda
2 : 2
NAC Breda
21 Aug
Dordrecht
0 : 1
Roda
14 Aug
Roda
2 : 1
Helmond Sport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 6 6 0 0 24:9 18
2 Almere City 6 4 1 1 15:4 13
3 Maastricht 6 4 1 1 9:9 13
4 Venlo 6 4 0 2 16:10 12
5 FC Emmen 6 4 0 2 16:14 12
6 Jong PSV 8 3 3 2 13:13 12
7 Roda 6 3 2 1 7:5 11
8 Waalwijk 6 2 4 0 12:8 10
9 Vitesse 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
10 Jong AZ Alkmaar 8 3 1 4 18:16 10
11 FC Volendam 6 3 0 3 16:10 9
12 Helmond Sport 6 2 2 2 12:10 8
13 NAC Breda 6 2 1 3 11:14 7
14 Eindhoven FC 6 2 1 3 8:12 7
15 Jong Utrecht 8 2 1 5 14:18 7
16 Jong Ajax 8 2 1 5 13:22 7
17 Den Bosch 6 1 1 4 10:15 4
18 Dordrecht 6 1 1 4 9:18 4
19 De Graafschap 6 1 1 4 7:18 4
20 TOP Oss 6 1 0 5 5:12 3
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)