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Jong Ajax vs Roda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Sportcomplex De Toekomst, Ouder-Amstel
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Zahouani F.
13'
Verkuijl M.
17'
Van den Buijs D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Jong Ajax
35%
Draws
44%
Roda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Roda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Roda have won more games recently than Jong Ajax.
  • Model gives Roda a 44% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Jong Ajax Clean Sheet 14%
Roda Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Ajax Roda
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.31 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax vs Roda
0:0
Jan 19, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax vs Roda
2:2
Sep 12, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Jong Ajax
3:3
Dec 23, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax vs Roda
3:1
Oct 25, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Jong Ajax
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Ajax 23 / 100
Roda 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Ajax Roda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Jong Ajax's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Roda has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Jong Ajax has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jong Ajax VS Roda
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Ajax

(Home)
02 Nov
Jong Ajax
1 : 1
Vitesse
23 Oct
TOP Oss
3 : 3
Jong Ajax
19 Oct
Jong Ajax
2 : 1
De Graafschap
09 Oct
Jong Ajax
0 : 3
Venlo
18 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 0
Roda
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Roda

(Away)
30 Oct
Roda
2 : 1
Jong AZ Alkmaar
27 Oct
Roda
1 : 0
De Graafschap
23 Oct
Almere City
2 : 3
Roda
19 Oct
Jong Utrecht
1 : 2
Roda
09 Oct
Roda
1 : 1
Jong PSV
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 13 10 2 1 39:14 32
2 Venlo 13 9 1 3 36:21 28
3 Almere City 13 8 1 4 27:13 25
4 Roda 13 7 4 2 17:12 25
5 FC Emmen 13 8 1 4 26:24 25
6 NAC Breda 13 7 3 3 25:20 24
7 FC Volendam 13 6 1 6 30:22 19
8 Den Bosch 13 5 3 5 23:21 18
9 Vitesse 13 5 3 5 17:18 18
10 Jong AZ Alkmaar 13 5 2 6 32:28 17
11 Maastricht 13 5 2 6 17:29 17
12 Waalwijk 13 3 7 3 22:19 16
13 Jong PSV 13 4 4 5 17:21 16
14 De Graafschap 13 4 3 6 17:27 15
15 TOP Oss 13 4 1 8 19:22 13
16 Jong Ajax 13 3 4 6 19:30 13
17 Helmond Sport 13 3 3 7 23:28 12
18 Eindhoven FC 13 3 2 8 18:28 11
19 Dordrecht 13 3 2 8 18:34 11
20 Jong Utrecht 13 3 1 9 22:33 10
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)