Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong Almere City vs Jong Heracles

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Bakis S.

AI Match Summary

Jong Heracles in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jong Heracles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Jong Almere City
15%
Draws
34%
Jong Heracles
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Almere City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Jong Heracles have won more games recently than Jong Almere City.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Jong Almere City taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Jong Almere City Clean Sheet 13%
Jong Heracles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Almere City Jong Heracles
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 11 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.83 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.87 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2021 Reserve League
Jong Almere City vs Jong Heracles
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Almere City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Jong Heracles Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakis S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Almere City 75 / 100
Jong Heracles 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Almere City Jong Heracles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Almere City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Almere City's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Jong Heracles has conceded goals in 67% of their last 24 outings.

Away concern: Jong Heracles has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Jong Almere City VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Almere City

(Home)
05 Sept
Katwijk
3 : 2
Jong Almere City
29 Aug
Jong Almere City
1 : 2
Koninklijke HFC
22 Aug
Hardenberg
2 : 1
Jong Almere City
15 Aug
Jong Almere City
4 : 0
Rijnsburgse Boys
23 May
Jong Almere City
5 : 4
GVVV
Page 1 of 6

Jong Heracles

(Away)
03 Aug
Groningen U21
2 : 0
Jong Heracles
22 Mar
Jong FC Emmen
1 : 0
Jong Heracles
14 Mar
Jong FC Twente
2 : 1
Jong Heracles
14 Feb
Jong Heracles
0 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
21 Nov
Jong Heracles
1 : 0
Jong FC Twente
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Heracles 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Jong FC Emmen 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
3 Jong FC Twente 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
4 Jong Heerenveen 4 2 0 2 6:10 6
5 Jong Almere City 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
Promotion - Reserve League (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Den Haag 3 2 0 1 11:4 6
2 Jong Venlo 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Jong Sittard 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
4 Jong Waalwijk 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Jong Maastricht 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - Reserve League (Winners stage)