Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong Almere City vs Jong Sparta Rotterdam

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Yanmar Stadion, Almere
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Huisman B.
Assist: Bais A.
58'
Bynoe J.
63'
Sub
Roaldsoy A. In: Sandvliet N.
Out: Roaldsoy A.

AI Match Summary

Jong Almere City in this Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jong Almere City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Jong Almere City
15%
Draws
46%
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Sparta Rotterdam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Jong Almere City have won more games recently than Jong Sparta Rotterdam.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Jong Almere City Clean Sheet 15%
Jong Sparta Rotterdam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Almere City Jong Sparta Rotterdam
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.9 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Jong Almere City vs Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3:0
Nov 15, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Jong Sparta Rotterdam vs Jong Almere City
2:2
May 24, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Jong Sparta Rotterdam vs Jong Almere City
3:3
Dec 14, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Jong Almere City vs Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3:4
Mar 2, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Jong Sparta Rotterdam vs Jong Almere City
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Almere City Compare

Top Goalscorer Huisman B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bais A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Jong Sparta Rotterdam Compare

Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Almere City 31 / 100
Jong Sparta Rotterdam 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Almere City Jong Sparta Rotterdam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Almere City found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Jong Sparta Rotterdam let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Jong Almere City remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jong Almere City VS Jong Sparta Rotterdam
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.57 Goals Conceded 2.5
71% Over 1.5 100%
71% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Almere City

(Home)
05 Sept
Katwijk
3 : 2
Jong Almere City
29 Aug
Jong Almere City
1 : 2
Koninklijke HFC
22 Aug
Hardenberg
2 : 1
Jong Almere City
15 Aug
Jong Almere City
4 : 0
Rijnsburgse Boys
23 May
Jong Almere City
5 : 4
GVVV
Page 1 of 6

Jong Sparta Rotterdam

(Away)
05 Sept
Koninklijke HFC
2 : 2
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
29 Aug
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 3
Hardenberg
22 Aug
Rijnsburgse Boys
3 : 6
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
15 Aug
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
6 : 1
Rohda Raalte
08 Aug
Excelsior Maassluis
4 : 2
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quick Boys 34 19 10 5 69:35 66
2 De Treffers 34 18 9 7 64:37 63
3 HSV Hoek 34 19 6 9 60:37 63
4 Rijnsburgse Boys 34 16 8 10 76:55 56
5 Hardenberg 34 17 5 12 58:44 56
6 Spakenburg 34 16 8 10 72:60 56
7 Katwijk 34 15 7 12 60:55 52
8 Jong Almere City 34 15 5 14 70:62 50
9 Kozakken Boys 34 13 8 13 47:55 47
10 Jong Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 9 13 71:73 45
11 AFC 34 12 9 13 46:54 45
12 Barendrecht 34 13 4 17 62:84 43
13 RKAV Volendam 34 13 3 18 50:62 42
14 GVVV 34 12 6 16 52:67 42
15 Koninklijke HFC 34 12 3 19 33:49 39
16 IJsselmeervogels 34 9 4 21 46:65 31
17 Excelsior Maassluis 34 8 7 19 39:58 31
18 ACV Assen 34 7 9 18 48:71 30
Relegation - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)