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Jong Aruba vs Estrella

Aruba Aruba

Division di Honor
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Estrella in this Division di Honor matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estrella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Jong Aruba
30%
Draws
23%
Estrella
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jong Aruba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Jong Aruba have won more games recently than Estrella.
  • Model gives Jong Aruba a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division di Honor form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • History favors Estrella here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Jong Aruba Clean Sheet 10%
Estrella Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Aruba Estrella
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.77 2.1
Goals Conceded 2.6 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2026 Division di Honor
Estrella vs Jong Aruba
0:4
Apr 27, 2026 Division di Honor
Jong Aruba vs Estrella
2:4
Dec 15, 2024 Division di Honor
Jong Aruba vs Estrella
0:6
Mar 28, 2009 Division di Honor
Jong Aruba vs Estrella
0:8
Oct 25, 2008 Division di Honor
Estrella vs Jong Aruba
5:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Aruba 65 / 100
Estrella 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Aruba Estrella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Aruba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Aruba scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Estrella's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 6.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Jong Aruba stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong Aruba VS Estrella
1.5 Goals Scored 2.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Aruba

(Home)
02 Jun
Estrella
0 : 4
Jong Aruba
27 May
Unistars
1 : 3
Jong Aruba
17 May
Jong Aruba
2 : 2
River Plate
11 May
Jong Aruba
0 : 0
Caiquetio
05 May
Jong Aruba
1 : 3
Brazil Juniors
Page 1 of 6

Estrella

(Away)
25 Jun
Caravel
1 : 6
Estrella
02 Jun
Estrella
0 : 4
Jong Aruba
24 May
Estrella
1 : 5
River Plate
21 May
Estrella
1 : 2
Caiquetio
13 May
Brazil Juniors
2 : 2
Estrella
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Nacional 10 10 0 0 56:11 30
2 Caravel 10 6 1 3 22:20 19
3 FC San Nicolaas 10 4 1 5 23:29 13
4 Atl. Deportivo 10 4 0 6 21:17 12
5 Estudiantes 10 3 0 7 20:33 9
6 Real Koyari 10 2 0 8 11:43 6
Relegation - Division di Honor (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caiquetio 10 5 5 0 18:6 20
2 River Plate 10 5 3 2 28:18 18
3 Estrella 10 5 2 3 23:23 17
4 Brazil Juniors 10 3 4 3 16:15 13
5 Jong Aruba 10 3 4 3 19:16 13
6 Unistars 10 0 0 10 7:33 0
Relegation - Division di Honor (Relegation - Play Offs)