Sport Picks
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Almere City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer 
AI Match Summary
Jong AZ Alkmaar host Almere City in the Eerste Divisie. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Jong AZ Alkmaar at 2.24 goals for, 1.9 against; Almere City at 2.11 for, 1.36 against. Past meetings favor Almere City slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 26, 2026, ending 3:4. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 2.00, favoring Almere City. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Almere City come out ahead of Jong AZ Alkmaar on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jong AZ Alkmaar | Almere City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 36 |
| Wins | 13 | 22 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.24 | 2.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.
Jong AZ Alkmaar scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Almere City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 36 matches.
Recent resilience: Jong AZ Alkmaar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Jong AZ Alkmaar
(Home)Almere City
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 39:14 | 32 |
| 2 | Venlo | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 36:21 | 28 |
| 3 | Almere City | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 27:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Roda | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17:12 | 25 |
| 5 | FC Emmen | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26:24 | 25 |
| 6 | NAC Breda | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 7 | FC Volendam | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 30:22 | 19 |
| 8 | Den Bosch | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 9 | Vitesse | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 32:28 | 17 |
| 11 | Maastricht | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17:29 | 17 |
| 12 | Waalwijk | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 22:19 | 16 |
| 13 | Jong PSV | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | 16 |
| 14 | De Graafschap | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17:27 | 15 |
| 15 | TOP Oss | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 19:22 | 13 |
| 16 | Jong Ajax | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19:30 | 13 |
| 17 | Helmond Sport | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 23:28 | 12 |
| 18 | Eindhoven FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18:28 | 11 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18:34 | 11 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 22:33 | 10 |
