Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Den Bosch - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jong AZ Alkmaar host Den Bosch in the Eerste Divisie. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Jong AZ Alkmaar at 2.14 goals for, 1.72 against; Den Bosch at 1.5 for, 1.75 against. Past meetings favor Jong AZ Alkmaar slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 23, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (2.56 xG vs 1.75) point toward Jong AZ Alkmaar. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Jong AZ Alkmaar
15%
Draws
20%
Den Bosch
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong AZ Alkmaar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jong AZ Alkmaar lately — more wins on the board than Den Bosch.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Jong AZ Alkmaar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Jong AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 12%
Den Bosch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong AZ Alkmaar Den Bosch
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 4 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 2.14 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Den Bosch
2:2
Sep 26, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
2:3
Apr 28, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Den Bosch
0:0
Aug 16, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
6:0
Feb 16, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong AZ Alkmaar 83 / 100
Den Bosch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong AZ Alkmaar Den Bosch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong AZ Alkmaar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong AZ Alkmaar's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Den Bosch conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Jong AZ Alkmaar remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jong AZ Alkmaar VS Den Bosch
3 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong AZ Alkmaar

(Home)
18 Sept
Jong AZ Alkmaar
4 : 1
FC Volendam
14 Sept
Jong PSV
1 : 1
Jong AZ Alkmaar
11 Sept
Heracles
3 : 2
Jong AZ Alkmaar
05 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 6
Jong AZ Alkmaar
31 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1
Jong Utrecht
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Den Bosch

(Away)
27 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 0
Den Bosch
18 Sept
Den Bosch
2 : 1
Helmond Sport
13 Sept
FC Volendam
2 : 0
Den Bosch
07 Sept
Jong PSV
3 : 1
Den Bosch
28 Aug
Den Bosch
1 : 4
Vitesse
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 8 7 0 1 26:10 21
2 Almere City 8 5 1 2 18:7 16
3 Maastricht 8 5 1 2 12:15 16
4 Venlo 8 5 0 3 21:14 15
5 Roda 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
6 FC Emmen 8 5 0 3 18:17 15
7 Waalwijk 8 3 4 1 18:11 13
8 Vitesse 8 4 1 3 13:11 13
9 NAC Breda 8 4 1 3 17:17 13
10 Jong AZ Alkmaar 9 4 1 4 22:17 13
11 FC Volendam 8 4 0 4 20:16 12
12 Jong PSV 9 3 3 3 14:16 12
13 Eindhoven FC 8 3 1 4 13:17 10
14 Helmond Sport 8 2 2 4 13:14 8
15 Jong Ajax 9 2 2 5 13:22 8
16 Den Bosch 8 2 1 5 12:17 7
17 Dordrecht 8 2 1 5 12:23 7
18 De Graafschap 8 2 1 5 9:20 7
19 Jong Utrecht 9 2 1 6 15:21 7
20 TOP Oss 8 2 0 6 8:13 6
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)