Sport Picks
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs FC Volendam - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer 
Match Events
17'
17'
de Wit H.
Assist: de Wit T.
30'
30'
Bergraaf J.
Assist: de Wit T.
31'
31'
Sub
Huisman D. In: Plat A.
Out: Huisman D.
AI Match Summary
Jong AZ Alkmaar in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jong AZ Alkmaar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong AZ Alkmaar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Jong AZ Alkmaar have won more games recently than FC Volendam.
- 53% — that's where the model lands on Jong AZ Alkmaar taking it.
- Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Jong AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 10%
FC Volendam Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jong AZ Alkmaar | FC Volendam |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.19 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs FC Volendam
4:1
Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs FC Volendam
3:1
Apr 14, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs FC Volendam
0:1
Dec 6, 2024 Eerste Divisie
FC Volendam vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
2:0
Feb 11, 2022 Eerste Divisie
FC Volendam vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jong AZ Alkmaar Compare
Top Goalscorer de Wit H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bergraaf J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
FC Volendam Compare
Top Goalscorer Ihler F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jong AZ Alkmaar 56 / 100
FC Volendam 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jong AZ Alkmaar FC Volendam
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jong AZ Alkmaar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Jong AZ Alkmaar scored in 81% of their last 26 outings.
FC Volendam's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Jong AZ Alkmaar has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Jong AZ Alkmaar VS FC Volendam
2.25 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Jong AZ Alkmaar
(Home) 18 Sept
Jong AZ Alkmaar
4 : 1 FC Volendam
14 Sept
Jong PSV
1 : 1 Jong AZ Alkmaar
11 Sept
Heracles
3 : 2 Jong AZ Alkmaar
05 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 6 Jong AZ Alkmaar
31 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Jong AZ Alkmaar
4 : 1 FC Volendam
31 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
28 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
1 : 2 Maastricht
10 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1 Eindhoven FC
17 Jul
Jong AZ Alkmaar
3 : 0 Jong Ajax
Page 1 of 3
FC Volendam
(Away) 03 Oct
Almere City
1 : 0 FC Volendam
26 Sept
FC Volendam
3 : 2 Venlo
18 Sept
Jong AZ Alkmaar
4 : 1 FC Volendam
13 Sept
FC Volendam
2 : 0 Den Bosch
04 Sept
FC Emmen
5 : 3 FC Volendam
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Almere City
1 : 0 FC Volendam
18 Sept
Jong AZ Alkmaar
4 : 1 FC Volendam
04 Sept
FC Emmen
5 : 3 FC Volendam
21 Aug
Maastricht
1 : 0 FC Volendam
10 Aug
Jong PSV
3 : 2 FC Volendam
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28:12 | 22 |
| 2 | Almere City | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Venlo | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23:14 | 18 |
| 4 | FC Emmen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 5 | Maastricht | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:19 | 16 |
| 6 | Roda | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 15 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 19:12 | 14 |
| 8 | Vitesse | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:13 | 14 |
| 9 | NAC Breda | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19:19 | 14 |
| 10 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 20:17 | 12 |
| 12 | Jong PSV | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Eindhoven FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:19 | 11 |
| 14 | Helmond Sport | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | 9 |
| 15 | TOP Oss | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12:14 | 9 |
| 16 | Den Bosch | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | 8 |
| 17 | Jong Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:24 | 8 |
| 19 | De Graafschap | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:22 | 8 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
