Sport Picks
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Jong Utrecht
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer 
Match Events
1'
1'
Chigozie Owen E.
Assist: Menzo B.
13'
13'
Esajas J.
16'
16'
Plantinga V.
AI Match Summary
Jong AZ Alkmaar in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jong AZ Alkmaar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jong AZ Alkmaar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Jong AZ Alkmaar have won more games recently than Jong Utrecht.
- Win probability leans Jong AZ Alkmaar's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Jong AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 16%
Jong Utrecht Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jong AZ Alkmaar | Jong Utrecht |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.18 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.00 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Jong Utrecht
2:1
Dec 12, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Jong Utrecht
1:4
Sep 30, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
0:0
Mar 7, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Jong Utrecht
5:1
Oct 22, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jong AZ Alkmaar Compare
Top Goalscorer Oufkir A.
1 Goals Assists Leader de Wit T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5
Jong Utrecht Compare
Top Goalscorer Chigozie Owen E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jong AZ Alkmaar 84 / 100
Jong Utrecht 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jong AZ Alkmaar Jong Utrecht
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jong AZ Alkmaar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jong AZ Alkmaar scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Jong Utrecht conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Jong AZ Alkmaar stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Jong AZ Alkmaar VS Jong Utrecht
3.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Jong AZ Alkmaar
(Home) 18 Sept
Jong AZ Alkmaar
4 : 1 FC Volendam
14 Sept
Jong PSV
1 : 1 Jong AZ Alkmaar
11 Sept
Heracles
3 : 2 Jong AZ Alkmaar
05 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 6 Jong AZ Alkmaar
31 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Jong AZ Alkmaar
4 : 1 FC Volendam
31 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
28 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
1 : 2 Maastricht
10 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1 Eindhoven FC
17 Jul
Jong AZ Alkmaar
3 : 0 Jong Ajax
Page 1 of 3
Jong Utrecht
(Away) 18 Sept
Jong Utrecht
1 : 3 Venlo
14 Sept
Jong Utrecht
6 : 1 Jong Ajax
11 Sept
NAC Breda
2 : 3 Jong Utrecht
07 Sept
Jong Utrecht
0 : 0 Eindhoven FC
31 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
NAC Breda
2 : 3 Jong Utrecht
31 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
28 Aug
TOP Oss
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
09 Aug
Maastricht
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
26 Jul
Dortmund II
5 : 1 Jong Utrecht
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26:10 | 21 |
| 2 | Almere City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Maastricht | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:15 | 16 |
| 4 | Venlo | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21:14 | 15 |
| 5 | Roda | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 15 |
| 6 | FC Emmen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 18:17 | 15 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18:11 | 13 |
| 8 | Vitesse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 9 | NAC Breda | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:17 | 13 |
| 10 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20:16 | 12 |
| 12 | Jong PSV | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Eindhoven FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Helmond Sport | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | 8 |
| 15 | Jong Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 16 | Den Bosch | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:17 | 7 |
| 17 | Dordrecht | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:23 | 7 |
| 18 | De Graafschap | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:20 | 7 |
| 19 | Jong Utrecht | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15:21 | 7 |
| 20 | TOP Oss | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:13 | 6 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
