Sport Picks
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Roda
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer 
Match Events
25'
25'
de Wit H.
43'
43'
Menu M.
46'
46'
Sub
Cooper-Love J. In: Wiedesheim-Paul R.
Out: Cooper-Love J.
AI Match Summary
Jong AZ Alkmaar in this Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jong AZ Alkmaar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong AZ Alkmaar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Jong AZ Alkmaar lately — more wins on the board than Roda.
- Model gives Jong AZ Alkmaar a 57% chance of winning this.
- Regular Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Jong AZ Alkmaar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Jong AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 16%
Roda Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jong AZ Alkmaar | Roda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.04 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.81 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 24, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Roda
2:0
Dec 5, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
2:3
Feb 7, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
3:3
Aug 12, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Roda
6:1
Feb 5, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Roda
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jong AZ Alkmaar Compare
Top Goalscorer de Wit H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kovacs B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Roda Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jong AZ Alkmaar 84 / 100
Roda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jong AZ Alkmaar Roda
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jong AZ Alkmaar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jong AZ Alkmaar scored in 81% of their last 26 games.
Roda has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.
Solid form: Jong AZ Alkmaar remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Jong AZ Alkmaar VS Roda
2.63 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Jong AZ Alkmaar
(Home) 10 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1 Eindhoven FC
01 Aug
IJsselmeervogels
1 : 7 Jong AZ Alkmaar
28 Jul
Quick Boys
1 : 4 Jong AZ Alkmaar
25 Jul
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 3 Jong AZ Alkmaar
17 Jul
Jong AZ Alkmaar
3 : 0 Jong Ajax
Page 1 of 6
10 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1 Eindhoven FC
17 Jul
Jong AZ Alkmaar
3 : 0 Jong Ajax
11 Jul
Jong AZ Alkmaar
3 : 1 FC Volendam
24 Apr
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2 : 0 Roda
13 Apr
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0 : 2 Jong PSV
Page 1 of 3
Roda
(Away) 14 Aug
Roda
2 : 1 Helmond Sport
07 Aug
FC Emmen
1 : 0 Roda
01 Aug
Roda
2 : 4 Alemannia Aachen
17 Jul
Roda
1 : 0 Beerschot VA
10 Jul
Cambuur
2 : 1 Roda
Page 1 of 6
07 Aug
FC Emmen
1 : 0 Roda
10 Jul
Cambuur
2 : 1 Roda
03 Jul
Vitesse
1 : 1 Roda
30 Jun
VV Chevremont
0 : 10 Roda
01 May
Waalwijk
2 : 1 Roda
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 44 |
| 16 | TOP Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond Sport | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | 35 |
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
