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Jong Colombia vs Willemstad Prediction & H2H Stats

Curaçao Curaçao

Promé Divishon
Sat, Mar 2, 2024
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jong Colombia host Willemstad in the Promé Divishon. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Willemstad have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Jong Colombia have conceded 1.24 and scored 1.97. Past meetings favor Jong Colombia slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 2, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.25 - 0.88) back Jong Colombia to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Jong Colombia
15%
Draws
32%
Willemstad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Colombia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Jong Colombia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Jong Colombia Clean Sheet 20%
Willemstad Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Colombia Willemstad
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.97 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2024 Promé Divishon
Jong Colombia vs Willemstad
0:0
Nov 18, 2023 Promé Divishon
Willemstad vs Jong Colombia
1:3
Oct 15, 2022 Promé Divishon
Willemstad vs Jong Colombia
1:1
Sep 22, 2022 Promé Divishon
Willemstad vs Jong Colombia
3:1
Jul 16, 2022 Promé Divishon
Willemstad vs Jong Colombia
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Colombia 31 / 100
Willemstad 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Colombia Willemstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Colombia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Colombia found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Willemstad let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Jong Colombia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jong Colombia VS Willemstad
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Colombia

(Home)
17 Feb
Jong Colombia
3 : 0
UNDEBA
21 Jan
Scherpenheuvel
1 : 1
Jong Colombia
14 Jan
Jong Colombia
1 : 3
Centro Dominguito
17 Dec
Salina
1 : 8
Jong Colombia
09 Dec
Jong Colombia
2 : 1
Jong Holland
Page 1 of 6

Willemstad

(Away)
28 Jul
Willemstad
1 : 2
Delfines Del Este
26 Jul
Willemstad
5 : 2
St. John's
18 Feb
Willemstad
2 : 1
CSD Barber
21 Jan
Jong Holland
1 : 0
Willemstad
14 Jan
Willemstad
0 : 1
Victory Boys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Colombia 14 9 2 3 38:16 29
2 Scherpenheuvel 15 7 7 1 22:12 28
3 Centro Dominguito 15 7 6 2 25:17 27
4 Willemstad 14 8 2 4 24:14 26
5 Jong Holland 14 7 2 5 33:16 23
6 Victory Boys 14 4 6 4 18:16 18
7 SUBT 14 5 1 8 20:29 16
8 UNDEBA 14 4 3 7 23:39 15
9 Salina 14 2 2 10 17:37 8
10 CSD Barber 14 2 1 11 15:39 7
Promotion - Promé Divishon (Winners stage)