Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong De Graafschap vs Jong Dordrecht

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
van Nispen M.
11' Event
Schuurman J.
12' Event
Schuurman J.

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League 2019/2020 game between Jong De Graafschap and Jong Dordrecht finished 11-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong De Graafschap.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Jong De Graafschap
15%
Draws
0%
Jong Dordrecht
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong De Graafschap

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Jong Dordrecht haven't matched Jong De Graafschap's recent run of results.
  • Jong De Graafschap are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Jong De Graafschap Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Dordrecht Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong De Graafschap Jong Dordrecht
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 3
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 2.43 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.75 3.52
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2020 Reserve League
Jong De Graafschap vs Jong Dordrecht
11:0
Apr 8, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Dordrecht vs Jong De Graafschap
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong De Graafschap Compare

Top Goalscorer van Nispen M.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Schuurman J.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Jong Dordrecht Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong De Graafschap 85 / 100
Jong Dordrecht 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong De Graafschap Jong Dordrecht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong De Graafschap Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong De Graafschap scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Jong Dordrecht's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Jong Dordrecht registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong De Graafschap VS Jong Dordrecht
2.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong De Graafschap

(Home)
18 Aug
TEC
3 : 2
Jong De Graafschap
09 Mar
Jong De Graafschap
11 : 0
Jong Dordrecht
02 Mar
Jong Vitesse
0 : 0
Jong De Graafschap
17 Feb
Jong FC Twente
0 : 2
Jong De Graafschap
03 Feb
Jong De Graafschap
1 : 4
Jong Cambuur
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Jong Dordrecht

(Away)
11 Aug
Jong Feyenoord
5 : 0
Jong Dordrecht
09 Mar
Jong De Graafschap
11 : 0
Jong Dordrecht
02 Mar
Jong Dordrecht
2 : 4
Jong Cambuur
17 Feb
Jong Sittard
2 : 0
Jong Dordrecht
10 Feb
Jong Dordrecht
2 : 3
Jong FC Eindhoven
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